trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 25 | -14.2% | -22.4% | 36% | 36% | -12.2% |
| ≤30d | 25 | -14.2% | -22.4% | 36% | 36% | -12.2% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -14.2% | -22.4% | 36% | 36% | -12.2% |
| all | 25 | -14.2% | -22.4% | 36% | 36% | -12.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -22.4% | 36% | -12.2% |
| 10% | -29.8% | 32% | -20.6% |
| 15% | -36.6% | 12% | -28.3% |
| 20% | -42.8% | 12% | -35.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 2.5 | Over | 54¢ | 47¢ | $20 | $17 | −$3 (-13%) |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $7 | $3 | −$4 (-61%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $25 | −$11 | -44% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -82% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | Jun 17 | $1 | $0 | +34% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | Jun 17 | $2 | −$2 | -94% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $21 | −$11 | -50% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$4 | -43% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $10 | +$2 | +19% |
| Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 | Jun 16 | $20 | +$5 | +25% |
| France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5 | Jun 16 | $5 | +$1 | +29% |
| France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 | Jun 16 | $15 | +$5 | +32% |
| IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5 | Jun 16 | $61 | −$28 | -47% |
| Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5 | Jun 15 | $20 | +$5 | +22% |
| Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 | Jun 15 | $41 | −$16 | -38% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5 | Jun 15 | $10 | +$11 | +107% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 | Jun 14 | $60 | −$60 | -100% |
| Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 | Jun 14 | $41 | +$32 | +79% |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $14 | +$94 | +649% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |