Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:32:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5A
0x5a55…3072
sports · 184 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$439 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$426 · open −$14
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$179
Realized−$426
Unrealized−$14
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses63 / 107
Est. fees paid−$81
Open positions12
Markets (closed)170 / 184
Avg bet$21
Trades / day36.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 12 History 170 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$32
7 days−$87
14 days−$178
30 days−$426
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 34¢ 34¢ $32 $32 +$0 (+0%)
Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 59¢ 54¢ $26 $24 −$2 (-8%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 9¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-2%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $19 $19 −$0 (-0%)
Will Lamine Yamal record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 19¢ 16¢ $20 $17 −$3 (-13%)
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-5%)
Will Kylian Mbappé record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 32¢ 27¢ $10 $8 −$1 (-15%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 56¢ 57¢ $7 $8 +$0 (+3%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 34¢ 14¢ $6 $2 −$3 (-60%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner MOUZ 15¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Team Spirit 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner BetBoom Team 10¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 TYLOO 33¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 49¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage PARIVISION 32¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner LGD Gaming 5¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage PARIVISION 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner Team Falcons 17¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage LGD Gaming 16¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 G2 60¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Yandex 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $6 +$3 +42%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $4 +$6 +160%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10 +$2 +24%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $9 −$1 -12%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $6 +$6 +97%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $6 +$4 +68%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $5 $0 -6%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $9 −$9 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $24 +$7 +29%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $60 +$6 +10%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $85 −$3 -3%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $5 +$5 +92%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $9 +$3 +34%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $13 $0 +2%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $79 −$1 -1%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $5 +$1 +13%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $23 −$1 -5%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $11 $0 -3%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $33 −$33 -99%
Will Ecuador reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $25 −$2 -9%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $19 +$1 +4%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $70 +$9 +13%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $2 −$2 -97%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $27 −$6 -22%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $78 −$3 -4%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $5 +$2 +31%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $35 −$13 -38%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $20 −$20 -98%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $7 −$7 -98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $31 −$30 -98%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $17 +$11 +64%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $20 −$2 -11%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $22 −$3 -12%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $20 +$2 +10%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $13 −$13 -98%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $7 −$7 -99%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $11 −$5 -48%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $4 −$4 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $16 +$4 +25%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $30 −$2 -6%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $5 −$5 -98%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $52 +$10 +19%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $10 +$4 +41%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $68 +$1 +2%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 81% −$356
other 14% −$24
crypto 6% −$59
finance 0% +$1
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 34¢ $6 29m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner SELL TheMongolz 95¢ $8 49m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner SELL MOUZ 98¢ $10 49m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 66¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 37¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 56¢ $7 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 15¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL TheMongolz 83¢ $12 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 45¢ $8 2h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 66¢ $10 2h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 50¢ $9 2h
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 5¢ $10 4h
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 34¢ $33 4h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $20 14h
Will Kylian Mbappé record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA BUY Yes 32¢ $10 14h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 65¢ $10 14h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 50¢ $6 14h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $19 14h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $21 14h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $20 14h
Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 59¢ $26 14h
Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 55¢ $0 14h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 SELL Over 99¢ $10 14h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 43¢ $5 14h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 18¢ $4 15h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 32¢ $5 15h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 84¢ $31 16h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Team Falcons 91¢ $13 17h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 11¢ $3 17h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 63¢ $9 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-22.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 61 -12.4% -20.8% 43% 36% -17.2%
≤30d 170 -14.3% -22.5% 37% 31% -24.4%
≤90d 170 -14.3% -22.5% 37% 31% -24.4%
all 170 -14.3% -22.5% 37% 31% -24.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover36.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.5% 31% -24.4%
10% ← realistic here -29.9% 27% -31.6%
15% -36.7% 22% -38.2%
20% -42.9% 19% -44.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $178.93 · official $186.93 · 639 history records