Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:43:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5A
0x5a50…49f3
sports · 126 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$117 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$124 · open +$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$58
Realized−$124
Unrealized+$7
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses64 / 58
Est. fees paid−$13
Open positions4
Markets (closed)122 / 126
History coverage94d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day2.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 4 History 122 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$42
7 days+$48
14 days+$48
30 days−$19
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Switzerland 60¢ 60¢ $26 $26 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Monte 27¢ 100¢ $5 $18 +$13 (+269%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 40¢ 38¢ $14 $13 −$1 (-4%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Monte 33¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B Spirit 71¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs Spirit 80¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs MIBR 36¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 53¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage TheMongolz 26¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven Rico 11¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs MOUZ 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-24? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs FUT Esports 43¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A paiN 37¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 41¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A FURIA 36¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffs Spirit 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 60¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B Natus Vincere 68¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-19? Yes 62¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stage HEROIC Academy 39¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs Aurora Gaming 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) FC Barcelona 58¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Spread: FK Shakhtar Donetsk (-1.5) FK Shakhtar Donetsk 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B TheMongolz 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $9 +$5 +50%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $10 +$15 +152%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 +$12 +114%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $18 +$6 +34%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $10 +$19 +188%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $26 −$16 -60%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $14 −$14 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10 +$6 +59%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10 +$3 +34%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $20 +$9 +46%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $10 +$5 +54%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $7 +$9 +135%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage Jun 11 $10 −$4 -36%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $22 −$21 -99%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $10 +$7 +65%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $8 +$7 +93%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $6 +$2 +36%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $11 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $12 +$4 +36%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $18 +$5 +27%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $10 +$8 +76%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $20 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs WW Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs May 29 $10 −$10 -99%
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs K27 (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group C May 25 $20 +$10 +51%
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs K27 - Map 2 Winner May 25 $40 −$40 -99%
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $23 −$23 -99%
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships P May 24 $5 +$33 +649%
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven May 23 $9 −$8 -98%
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $30 +$14 +46%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs May 23 $6 −$6 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Pla May 23 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europ May 22 $8 −$8 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships May 22 $4 −$4 -98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A May 21 $20 +$15 +75%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Gro May 21 $10 +$7 +73%
Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+1.5) May 21 $20 +$11 +57%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B May 20 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group May 20 $10 −$10 -98%
Will FK LNZ Cherkasy win on 2026-05-16? May 18 $20 −$20 -99%
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-05-16? May 18 $21 −$21 -99%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs May 17 $29 +$18 +62%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Play May 17 $10 +$3 +34%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs May 16 $7 +$7 +105%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16? May 16 $7 +$5 +73%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs May 16 $10 +$4 +39%
Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs May 16 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs May 16 $5 +$17 +325%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs May 15 $10 −$10 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 77% −$92
other 22% −$15
world 1% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 40¢ $14 51m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 27¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 33¢ $6 2h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 100¢ $26 2h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 39¢ $10 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 66¢ $9 5h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 60¢ $27 7h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 79¢ $10 17h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $10 17h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 69¢ $9 17h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 100¢ $29 17h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 34¢ $10 21h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 47¢ $10 22h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Team Falcons 45¢ $10 22h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 70¢ $16 23h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 57¢ $10 24h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 100¢ $16 26h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 36¢ $4 26h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $13 26h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 61¢ $10 27h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 74¢ $10 29h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 62¢ $10 29h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $29 41h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 68¢ $20 43h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Aurora Gaming 100¢ $16 43h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Aurora Gaming 64¢ $10 47h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 100¢ $15 2d
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 42¢ $7 2d
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage SELL Legacy 50¢ $7 2d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY TheMongolz 53¢ $22 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-7.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 +30.1% +17.7% 73% 73% +9.6%
≤30d 51 +10.8% +0.2% 55% 55% -11.3%
≤90d 109 +1.3% -8.4% 52% 52% -15.2%
all 122 +2.2% -7.6% 52% 52% -16.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.6% 52% -16.3%
10% -16.4% 52% -24.3%
15% -24.5% 47% -31.6%
20% -31.9% 35% -38.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $58.19 · official $58.19 (match) · 206 history records