Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:44:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5A
0x5a3c…38d3
sports · 915 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$16,275 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$16,786 · open +$510
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,200
Realized−$16,786
Unrealized+$510
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses279 / 633
Whale WR (big bets)41%
Est. fees paid−$2,538
Open positions3
Markets (closed)912 / 915
History coverage174d
Avg bet$264
Trades / day11.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 3 History 912 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,175
7 days+$421
14 days−$1,701
30 days−$6,529
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5) 9z 62¢ 100¢ $410 $661 +$251 (+61%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 18¢ 30¢ $180 $297 +$117 (+65%)
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Over 41¢ 100¢ $100 $243 +$143 (+143%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI KT Rolster 1¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 23¢ 0¢ $430 $0 −$430 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 24¢ 0¢ $451 $0 −$451 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Team WE 18¢ 0¢ $218 $0 −$218 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 26¢ 0¢ $354 $0 −$354 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 48¢ 0¢ $542 $0 −$542 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner KT Rolster 23¢ 0¢ $610 $0 −$610 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $414 +$1,425 +344%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $377 −$354 -94%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $424 −$342 -81%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $550 −$542 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $440 −$430 -98%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $251 +$81 +32%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $192 +$724 +376%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $461 −$451 -98%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $393 +$139 +35%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $688 −$188 -27%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $280 +$1,023 +365%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $288 −$288 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $321 +$1,416 +442%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $622 +$658 +106%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $53 −$53 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $204 −$204 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $115 −$115 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $133 −$133 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $429 −$429 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 13 $734 −$734 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $627 −$627 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $15 −$15 -97%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $223 −$218 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $624 −$610 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,098 −$220 -20%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $267 +$976 +365%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5) Jun 12 $288 +$205 +71%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5) Jun 12 $101 +$91 +90%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $337 +$1,002 +297%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $591 +$1,031 +174%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $346 −$346 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $619 −$619 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $677 −$677 -100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5) Jun 11 $690 −$103 -15%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5) Jun 11 $208 +$309 +149%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5) Jun 11 $309 +$252 +82%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $459 +$1,025 +223%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 11 $204 −$204 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $515 −$515 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 11 $15 −$15 -100%
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5) Jun 11 $816 −$816 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $325 +$702 +216%
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) Jun 08 $159 −$159 -100%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 08 $306 −$306 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $230 −$212 -92%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $556 −$556 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $14 −$14 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 08 $658 −$658 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 08 $804 −$804 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% −$16,744
other 5% +$760
finance 0% −$291
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 41¢ $102 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner SELL 9z 100¢ $1,839 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 17¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 18¢ $179 3h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 22¢ $119 4h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 22¢ $296 4h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 22¢ $2 4h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 100¢ $22 4h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 48¢ $550 5h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 23¢ $440 5h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 69¢ $15 6h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 26¢ $4 6h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 26¢ $358 6h
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5) BUY 9z 62¢ $415 6h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 80¢ $66 7h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 24¢ $358 8h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 18¢ $1 8h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 18¢ $92 8h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 26¢ $368 9h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 26¢ $155 11h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 75¢ $251 11h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Team WE 100¢ $1,303 11h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 21¢ $88 12h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 17¢ $87 12h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 44¢ $238 12h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Team WE 100¢ $1,737 12h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Team WE 21¢ $280 12h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 20¢ $104 12h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 29¢ $430 13h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 18¢ $92 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-29.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 60 +2.8% -7.0% 33% 33% -8.0%
≤30d 261 -14.8% -22.9% 29% 29% -17.4%
≤90d 625 -25.0% -32.2% 28% 27% -17.4%
all 912 -22.5% -29.9% 31% 29% -15.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -29.9% 29% -15.9%
10% -36.6% 27% -24.0%
15% -42.7% 26% -31.3%
20% -48.3% 23% -38.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,200.42 · official $1,200.42 (match) · 2822 history records