Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:54:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5A
0x5a32…7c09
other · 95 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
−$79 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$79 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$79
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)9%
Wins / losses9 / 86
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)95 / 95
History coverage80d
Avg bet$186
Trades / day3.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit52%
Chart Positions 0 History 95 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$2
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 13 $210 $0 -0%
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary elec Jun 11 $23 $0 -0%
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 09 $30 $0 -0%
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $21 $0 -0%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 05 $34 $0 -0%
Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Jun 04 $211 $0 -0%
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $637 −$1 -0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee Jun 02 $37 $0 -0%
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 01 $25 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May? Jun 01 $80 $0 +0%
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 31 $357 $0 -0%
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 24 $30 $0 -0%
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 23 $215 $0 -0%
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 17 $169 $0 -0%
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 17 $168 $0 -0%
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? May 16 $534 −$1 -0%
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? May 14 $175 $0 -0%
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? May 13 $163 $0 -0%
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 12 $163 $0 -0%
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? May 10 $343 −$1 -0%
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 10 $350 $0 -0%
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June May 09 $179 $0 -0%
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 09 $333 $0 -0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me May 06 $351 $0 -0%
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 05 $693 −$1 -0%
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 05 $176 $0 -0%
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026? May 04 $181 $0 -0%
Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 03 $167 $0 -0%
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? May 02 $178 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026? May 01 $174 $0 -0%
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? May 01 $532 −$1 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April? May 01 $21 $0 +0%
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 29 $174 $0 -0%
Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026? Apr 29 $171 $0 -0%
Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 28 $174 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? Apr 27 $513 −$1 -0%
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 19 $346 $0 -0%
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 19 $357 $0 -0%
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 16 $178 $0 -0%
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Apr 16 $180 $0 -0%
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 15 $170 $0 -0%
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 14 $356 $0 -0%
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 14 $168 $0 -0%
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 13 $174 $0 -0%
Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair? Apr 13 $182 $0 -0%
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026? Apr 12 $173 $0 -0%
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 12 $189 $0 -0%
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 11 $385 $0 -0%
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 11 $189 $0 -0%
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 11 $180 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 61% +$1
politics 23% −$4
economics 6% −$1
world 4% −$1
sports 2% −$73
culture 2% −$1
tech 1% $0
crypto 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $30 1h
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $30 3h
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary elec SELL No 100¢ $23 38h
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary elec BUY No 100¢ $23 44h
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $30 3d
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $30 3d
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $21 4d
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $21 4d
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $34 7d
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $34 7d
Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $30 8d
Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $30 8d
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $34 9d
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $34 9d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 99¢ $37 10d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $37 10d
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $25 11d
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $25 11d
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $32 12d
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $32 12d
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $30 19d
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $30 19d
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May? BUY No 100¢ $80 20d
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $23 20d
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $23 20d
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $169 26d
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $169 26d
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $168 26d
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 99¢ $168 26d
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $180 27d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-14.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 17 -0.1% -9.6% 6% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 95 -5.8% -14.7% 9% 6% -9.9%
all 95 -5.8% -14.7% 9% 6% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.7% 6% -9.9%
10% -22.9% 5% -18.5%
15% -30.4% 5% -26.4%
20% -37.2% 5% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 275 history records