Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:59:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5A
0x5a2b…c3cb
crypto · 324 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
−$3,051 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,011 · open −$40
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$790
Realized−$3,011
Unrealized−$40
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses118 / 205
Whale WR (big bets)40%
Est. fees paid−$159
Open positions1
Markets (closed)323 / 324
History coverage249d
Avg bet$115
Trades / day2.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 1 History 323 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$714
7 days−$343
14 days−$345
30 days−$1,292
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
ITF Ceska Lipa: Elena Ruxandra Bertea vs Eva Vedder Eva Vedder 62¢ 60¢ $830 $790 −$40 (-5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo Akasha Urhobo 31¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down on June 13? Jun 13 $208 −$156 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $208 −$208 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $94 −$90 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $106 −$100 -94%
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 12 $394 +$467 +118%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $254 +$355 +139%
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo Jun 12 $390 −$99 -26%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $198 +$151 +76%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $204 −$204 -100%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $305 −$305 -100%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva Jun 12 $103 −$103 -100%
ITF Wichita: Blake Ellis vs Sebastian Gorzny Jun 12 $102 −$102 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $104 −$104 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6PM ET Jun 11 $208 +$210 +101%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $236 +$374 +158%
Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 11 $72 −$72 -100%
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 11 $204 +$3 +2%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $203 +$142 +70%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 11 $695 +$495 +71%
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Zeynep Sonmez Jun 11 $396 +$96 +24%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 10? Jun 11 $26 −$26 -100%
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs Jun 10 $101 −$101 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $104 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 10 $105 −$105 -100%
Ilkley: Tereza Martincova vs Katie Swan Jun 10 $223 −$223 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $207 −$207 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 10 $157 −$157 -100%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jeline Vandromme Jun 10 $204 −$204 -100%
Cattolica: Alexander Vasilev vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 10 $102 −$102 -100%
Ilkley: Taylah Preston vs Harmony Tan Jun 10 $151 −$151 -100%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis Jun 10 $204 −$204 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 10 $106 −$106 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 10 $104 +$133 +128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 10 $104 +$107 +103%
Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutet Jun 09 $229 +$395 +172%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Jonas Forejtek Jun 09 $233 +$200 +86%
HSBC Championships: Maria Sakkari vs Tatjana Maria Jun 09 $513 +$519 +101%
HSBC Championships: Shuai Zhang vs Alexandra Eala Jun 09 $239 −$179 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 09 $259 +$195 +75%
Libema Open: Katie Volynets vs Zeynep Sonmez Jun 09 $444 +$570 +128%
Cattolica: Miguel Tobon vs Alexander Vasilev Jun 09 $204 +$241 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8PM ET Jun 09 $96 −$96 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 09 $106 −$106 -100%
OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $294 −$294 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 9? Jun 09 $157 +$47 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 09 $208 −$208 -100%
HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kessler Jun 08 $412 −$412 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 08 $104 +$170 +162%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 8? Jun 08 $197 +$56 +28%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 43% −$1,974
sports 24% +$1,115
other 19% −$850
weather 13% −$1,109
economics 1% −$79
world 0% −$113
culture 0% −$27
politics 0% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ITF Ceska Lipa: Elena Ruxandra Bertea vs Eva Vedder BUY Eva Vedder 63¢ $840 55m
Ethereum Up or Down on June 13? SELL Down 12¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $208 1h
Ethereum Up or Down on June 13? BUY Down 44¢ $208 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $94 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $106 11h
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee SELL Harmony Tan 100¢ $861 16h
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery SELL Robin Montgomery 100¢ $609 17h
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo BUY Akasha Urhobo 31¢ $92 17h
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Robin Montgomery 41¢ $254 18h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 56¢ $198 19h
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee BUY Harmony Tan 45¢ $394 20h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva BUY Maxim Mrva 7¢ $103 21h
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic BUY Marie Bouzkova 35¢ $204 22h
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Zhizhen Zhang 43¢ $305 24h
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 24h
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $10 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $104 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6PM ET SELL Down 92¢ $418 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $208 34h
ITF Wichita: Blake Ellis vs Sebastian Gorzny BUY Blake Ellis 39¢ $102 35h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher BUY Lucia Bronzetti 38¢ $236 38h
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus SELL Sinja Kraus 40¢ $207 38h
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 100¢ $345 39h
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus BUY Sinja Kraus 38¢ $204 39h
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 58¢ $203 39h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic SELL Nuno Borges 79¢ $1,190 39h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic BUY Nuno Borges 45¢ $695 43h
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Zeynep Sonmez SELL Zeynep Sonmez 100¢ $492 46h
Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Marco Cecchinato BUY Alvaro Guillen Meza 17¢ $72 47h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-27.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 61 -16.4% -24.4% 41% 39% -12.0%
≤30d 93 -39.2% -45.0% 29% 28% -18.0%
≤90d 194 -30.0% -36.7% 31% 28% -19.7%
all 323 -19.7% -27.4% 37% 33% -17.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -27.4% 33% -17.1%
10% -34.3% 29% -25.0%
15% -40.7% 27% -32.2%
20% -46.5% 24% -38.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $790.23 · official $790.23 (match) · 760 history records