Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T07:04:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
5A 0x5a02…f317 crypto 949 markets active 0h ago coverage 90d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$49 (-1%) realized −$49 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR54%break-even
Win rate56%532W / 416L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day21.8pace
Kalshi-fit95%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$981
7 days−$783
14 days−$65
30 days−$185
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 95% −$152
other 5% −$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 378 -43.2% -48.6% 30% 30% -48.7%
≤30d 888 -2.6% -11.9% 56% 56% -13.3%
≤90d 948 -2.9% -12.2% 56% 54% -12.5%
all 948 -2.9% -12.2% 56% 54% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover21.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.2% 54% -12.5%
10% ← realistic here -20.6% 53% -20.9%
15% -28.2% 50% -28.5%
20% -35.3% 39% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +19% → late -25% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$5 · ×0.71 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.91 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

90d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$49
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses532 / 416
Open positions0
Markets (closed)948 / 949
History coverage90d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day21.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 948 Trades
no open positions (74 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +30%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$3 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $4 25m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $2 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $6 26m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 28m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Up 79¢ $8 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $5 31h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $5 32h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 83¢ $8 32h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 32h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 32h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 32h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $10 32h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 32h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 32h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 33h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 33h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 33h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 34h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 34h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 34h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 34h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $4 34h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 34h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 34h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $4 34h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 34h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 34h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 34h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2379 history records