Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:10:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

59
0x59ff…c0d1
other · 5 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$46 -25%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$21 · open −$25
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$21
Unrealized−$25
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses1 / 2
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)3 / 5
History coverage1d
Avg bet$37
Trades / day6.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit20%
Chart Positions 2 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$21
7 days−$21
14 days−$21
30 days−$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 42¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $101 +$29 +29%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $51 −$41 -80%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 54% +$29
other 46% −$76
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 24¢ $3 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 10¢ $2 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 48¢ $20 2h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 22¢ $10 5h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 99¢ $130 28h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 11¢ $10 28h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 76¢ $101 28h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $51 32h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-55.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -50.4% -55.1% 33% 33% -21.5%
≤30d 3 -50.4% -55.1% 33% 33% -21.5%
≤90d 3 -50.4% -55.1% 33% 33% -21.5%
all 3 -50.4% -55.1% 33% 33% -21.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -55.1% 33% -21.5%
10% -59.4% 33% -29.0%
15% -63.3% 0% -35.8%
20% -66.9% 0% -42.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.04 · official $0.04 (match) · 8 history records