Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:10:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

59
0x59e9…2f9d
crypto · 366 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,171 -22%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,166 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,166
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)24%
Wins / losses181 / 560
Open positions1
Markets (closed)741 / 366
History coverage2d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day1388.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 741 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,148
7 days−$2,166
14 days−$2,166
30 days−$2,166
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$779
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $10 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET SELL Down 57¢ $13 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $10 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $11 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET SELL Up 79¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET SELL Down 56¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Up 59¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 61¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $11 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-57.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 741 -52.6% -57.1% 24% 13% -26.8%
≤30d 741 -52.6% -57.1% 24% 13% -26.8%
≤90d 741 -52.6% -57.1% 24% 13% -26.8%
all 741 -52.6% -57.1% 24% 13% -26.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1388.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -57.1% 13% -26.8%
10% ← realistic here -61.2% 8% -33.8%
15% -65.0% 6% -40.2%
20% -68.4% 5% -46.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.04 · official $0.52 (match) · 3500 history records