Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T09:52:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
59 0x59e2…4b66 crypto 720 markets active 1h ago coverage 64d ⚠
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 64d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$2,161 (+3%) realized +$2,161 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR18%break-even
Win rate71%512W / 209L
Whale WR83%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$94per market
Trades / day43.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,867
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-13.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 290 -10.9% -19.4% 36% 30% -19.7%
≤30d 303 -9.1% -17.7% 39% 29% -19.4%
≤90d 721 -4.1% -13.2% 71% 18% -12.4%
all 721 -4.1% -13.2% 71% 18% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover43.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.2% 18% -12.4%
10% ← realistic here -21.5% 13% -20.7%
15% -29.1% 10% -28.4%
20% -36.0% 8% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
74% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 83% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -1% → late -7% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$26 · ×0.25 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.62 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

64d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,161
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses512 / 209
Whale WR (big bets)83%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)721 / 720
History coverage64d ⚠
Avg bet$94
Trades / day43.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 721 Trades
no open positions (55 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $254 −$254 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $11 +$27 +261%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 15 $15 +$4 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $36 −$5 -14%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10PM ET Jun 15 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$7 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$21 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $42 −$18 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$10 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$12 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$3 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$6 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$7 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$15 +529%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$4 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$9 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 11 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$3 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $21 +$17 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 11 $21 +$7 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$4 -17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records