Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:22:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

59
0x59dc…9e14
crypto · 1743 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$141 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$22 · open −$120
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$290
Realized−$22
Unrealized−$120
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses1684 / 58
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1742 / 1743
History coverage21d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day93.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1742 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$6
14 days−$32
30 days−$22
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $410 $290 −$120 (-29%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +221%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +186%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +84%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$22
other 5% −$120
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $3 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 274 -1.9% -11.3% 86% 26% -11.3%
≤30d 1742 -0.5% -10.0% 97% 4% -9.8%
≤90d 1742 -0.5% -10.0% 97% 4% -9.8%
all 1742 -0.5% -10.0% 97% 4% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover93.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 4% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 2% -18.4%
15% -26.4% 1% -26.3%
20% -33.6% 1% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $290.42 · official $290.42 (match) · 3500 history records