Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:41:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

59
0x59d6…c6d8
crypto · 552 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$400 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$400 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$400
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses380 / 172
Est. fees paid−$14
Open positions0
Markets (closed)552 / 552
History coverage117d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day12.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 552 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days−$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Alexandra Eala vs Oleksandra Oliynykova Alexandra Eala 58¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 10 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 09 $3 $0 +6%
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Alexandra Eala vs Oleksandra Oliynykova May 18 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET May 18 $6 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET May 18 $4 −$3 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET May 18 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET May 18 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET May 18 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET May 18 $4 +$5 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET May 18 $3 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET May 16 $21 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET May 16 $11 −$10 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET May 15 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET May 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev May 15 $2 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET May 15 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET May 15 $5 −$3 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET May 15 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET May 15 $5 $0 +5%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs May 15 $1 −$1 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET May 15 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET May 14 $6 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET May 14 $2 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET May 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET May 14 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET May 14 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET May 14 $7 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET May 14 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET May 14 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET May 14 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET May 13 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET May 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET May 13 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET May 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET May 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET May 07 $5 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET May 07 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET May 07 $4 −$2 -51%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 84% −$298
sports 15% −$100
other 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Down 71¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Down 61¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 10¢ $0 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Down 65¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $12 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $12 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 83¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 54¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-13.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -0.0% -9.5% 71% 36% -8.5%
≤30d 45 -5.7% -14.6% 69% 27% -16.3%
≤90d 552 -3.8% -13.0% 69% 33% -14.4%
all 552 -3.8% -13.0% 69% 33% -14.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.0% 33% -14.4%
10% -21.3% 16% -22.6%
15% -28.9% 9% -30.0%
20% -35.9% 5% -36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1609 history records