trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.6% | -10.1% | 0% | 0% | -10.1% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -0.6% | -10.1% | 0% | 0% | -10.1% |
| ≤90d | 2 | +1.1% | -8.5% | 50% | 0% | -8.7% |
| all | 16 | +1.9% | -7.8% | 38% | 6% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.8% | 6% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -16.6% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -24.7% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -32.1% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $36 | $36 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Jun 28 | $36 | $0 | -1% |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | May 06 | $29 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 m | Jan 31 | $11,240 | −$11 | -0% |
| Will Stable launch a token in 2025? | Jan 31 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | Dec 05 | $27 | +$3 | +10% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decem | Oct 24 | $11 | +$1 | +12% |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | Sep 24 | $14 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024? | Dec 27 | $16 | $0 | +2% |
| 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House | Oct 05 | $185 | −$1 | -0% |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | Oct 05 | $174 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025? | Oct 03 | $272 | $0 | +0% |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+ | Oct 03 | $258 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Oct 02 | $383 | $0 | -0% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting? | Oct 02 | $224 | $0 | +0% |
| Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election? | Oct 01 | $206 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024? | Oct 01 | $256 | $0 | +0% |