trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -24.6% | -31.8% | 56% | 33% | -22.6% |
| ≤30d | 14 | -22.3% | -29.7% | 43% | 29% | -28.5% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -22.3% | -29.7% | 43% | 29% | -28.5% |
| all | 14 | -22.3% | -29.7% | 43% | 29% | -28.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -29.7% | 29% | -28.5% |
| 10% | -36.4% | 14% | -35.3% |
| 15% | -42.5% | 0% | -41.6% |
| 20% | -48.2% | 0% | -47.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $17 | +$3 | +15% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $18 | +$2 | +14% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $6 | +$1 | +26% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $37 | −$32 | -88% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$4 | -81% |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election | Jun 13 | $88 | +$6 | +7% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 11 | $3,703 | −$531 | -14% |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election | Jun 08 | $527 | +$176 | +33% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Jun 04 | $361 | −$63 | -17% |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Jun 04 | $10 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele | May 31 | $14 | −$9 | -67% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | May 28 | $3,547 | −$1,292 | -36% |