Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T03:47:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
59 0x59c9…8e43 crypto 701 markets active 0h ago coverage 59d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 58d only
✗ bot/MM pace (52 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$214 (-4%) realized −$214 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +26% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -3% what you keep after slip
Net edge-3%after slip
Net WR44%break-even
Win rate68%478W / 225L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day52.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$8now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days−$129
14 days−$231
30 days−$231
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$335
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (52 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)+14.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 152 +15.7% +4.7% 57% 17% -12.3%
≤30d 237 +13.4% +2.6% 61% 28% -14.8%
≤90d 703 +26.0% +14.0% 68% 44% -13.7%
all 703 +26.0% +14.0% 68% 44% -13.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover52.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +14.0% 44% -13.7%
10% ← realistic here +3.1% 21% -21.9%
15% -6.9% 13% -29.5%
20% -16.0% 9% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
32% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +26% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +42% → late +10% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
3.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$4 · ×0.29 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.61 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

59d coverage
Net worth$8
Realized−$214
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses478 / 225
Open positions0
Markets (closed)703 / 701
History coverage59d ⚠
Avg bet$8
Trades / day52.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 703 Trades
no open positions (42 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 15 $0 +$2 +2737%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 15 $0 +$1 +1632%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$4 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $31 −$11 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 15 $21 −$3 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 15 $11 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 15 $20 +$10 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 15 $60 −$4 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 15 $31 −$6 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $40 +$4 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 15 $14 +$3 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 15 $22 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 15 $15 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $30 −$5 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 15 $29 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 15 $40 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 15 $14 −$3 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $22 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $9 −$7 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $18 −$6 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$2 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 11 $11 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$3 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $22 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $9 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $9 −$2 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $17 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $32 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $21 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 11 $26 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $16 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 11 $11 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 11 $17 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $7 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 11 $18 −$5 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $29 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 11 $22 +$3 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET SELL Up 61¢ $7 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET SELL Up 61¢ $7 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET SELL Up 61¢ $7 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $11 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $10 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $10 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $12 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $10 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $11 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $10 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET SELL Down 71¢ $9 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET SELL Down 71¢ $9 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $10 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $10 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $11 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Down 59¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Up 84¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Up 84¢ $9 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.25 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records