Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:04:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

59
0x59c8…3f39
crypto · 20 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$3 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized+$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses12 / 3
Open positions5
Markets (closed)15 / 20
History coverage2d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day13.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit65%
Chart Positions 5 History 15 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$3
14 days+$3
30 days+$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 62¢ 64¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 57¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 81¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 60¢ 58¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$4 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -58%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +105%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +165%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 91% $0
other 9% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 8¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Up 21¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 2h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $1 7h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $1 7h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 62¢ $1 30h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 60¢ $1 30h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $1 30h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $1 34h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $3 34h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $1 42h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 +20.8% +9.3% 80% 67% -6.3%
≤30d 15 +20.8% +9.3% 80% 67% -6.3%
≤90d 15 +20.8% +9.3% 80% 67% -6.3%
all 15 +20.8% +9.3% 80% 67% -6.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +9.3% 67% -6.3%
10% -1.2% 47% -15.2%
15% -10.7% 27% -23.4%
20% -19.5% 20% -30.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.01 · official $5.01 (match) · 47 history records