trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 4 | -37.1% | -43.1% | 50% | 50% | -42.9% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -13.1% | -21.4% | 73% | 47% | -36.9% |
| all | 21 | -18.3% | -26.1% | 71% | 38% | -35.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -26.1% | 38% | -35.0% |
| 10% | -33.2% | 24% | -41.2% |
| 15% | -39.6% | 10% | -46.9% |
| 20% | -45.5% | 0% | -52.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 1.5 | Over | 71¢ | 70¢ | $143 | $142 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $90 | −$90 | -99% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Jun 15 | $94 | +$27 | +29% |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves | Jun 04 | $95 | −$94 | -99% |
| LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | May 28 | $90 | +$20 | +23% |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships G | May 22 | $80 | +$36 | +46% |
| Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A | May 13 | $73 | −$72 | -99% |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | May 13 | $47 | +$18 | +38% |
| Bill Clinton charged by March 31? | Apr 29 | $10 | $0 | +2% |
| Will March 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record? | Apr 29 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | Apr 29 | $12 | +$2 | +14% |
| Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Apr 29 | $14 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting? | Apr 29 | $16 | $0 | +1% |
| Thunder vs. Suns | Apr 29 | $35 | +$9 | +26% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 13-19? | Apr 29 | $44 | +$8 | +19% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | Apr 29 | $120 | −$118 | -98% |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026? | Feb 24 | $18 | +$2 | +11% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January? | Feb 03 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Apple reach $360 in January? | Feb 03 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026? | Jan 28 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | Jan 22 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | Jan 08 | $18 | $0 | +0% |