Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:35:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

59
0x59ba…c937
other · 16 markets active 1h ago
5.0score
+$14 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$16 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$99
Realized+$16
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses3 / 0
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions13
Markets (closed)3 / 16
History coverage2d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day11.3
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit25%
Chart Positions 13 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$16
7 days+$16
14 days+$16
30 days+$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $25 $27 +$2 (+8%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+0%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ 18¢ $12 $12 −$0 (-2%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Will Germany be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Will Netherlands be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-9%)
Will France be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? Yes 23¢ 20¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-15%)
Will Croatia be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? Yes 14¢ 9¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-36%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-4%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Yes 22¢ 22¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$6 +109%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 +$8 +165%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 71% +$13
crypto 26% +$1
sports 3% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+85.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +105.2% +85.6% 100% 100% +85.8%
≤30d 3 +105.2% +85.6% 100% 100% +85.8%
≤90d 3 +105.2% +85.6% 100% 100% +85.8%
all 3 +105.2% +85.6% 100% 100% +85.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +85.6% 100% +85.8%
10% +67.9% 100% +68.0%
15% +51.7% 100% +51.8%
20% +36.8% 67% +36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $99.08 · official $99.08 (match) · 23 history records