Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:46:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

59
0x59ba…f6a2
sports · 353 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$5,231 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5,213 · open +$19
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6,858
Realized+$5,213
Unrealized+$19
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses317 / 16
Whale WR (big bets)94%
Est. fees paid−$89
Open positions25
Markets (closed)333 / 353
History coverage74d
Avg bet$4,013
Trades / day41.4
Drawdown2%
Kalshi-fit71%
Chart Positions 25 History 333 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$52
14 days+$187
30 days+$482
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ibanez be in Brazil's Starting 11? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $2,218 $2,221 +$3 (+0%)
Will Gabriel Martinelli be in Brazil's Starting 11? No 100¢ 100¢ $1,089 $1,090 +$1 (+0%)
Will Igor Thiago be in Brazil's Starting 11? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $540 $540 +$0 (+0%)
Will Leo Pereira be in Brazil's Starting 11? No 100¢ 100¢ $443 $444 +$0 (+0%)
Will Vinicius Jr be in Brazil's Starting 11? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $348 $349 +$0 (+0%)
Will Rayan be in Brazil's Starting 11? No 100¢ 100¢ $319 $319 +$0 (+0%)
Will Bremer be in Brazil's Starting 11? No 100¢ 100¢ $278 $278 +$0 (+0%)
Will Alex Sandro be in Brazil's Starting 11? No 100¢ 100¢ $272 $272 +$0 (+0%)
Will Fabinho be in Brazil's Starting 11? No 100¢ 100¢ $256 $256 +$0 (+0%)
Will Weverton be in Brazil's Starting 11? No 100¢ 100¢ $251 $251 +$0 (+0%)
Will Matheus Cunha be in Brazil's Starting 11? No 100¢ 100¢ $221 $221 +$0 (+0%)
Will Wesley be in Brazil's Starting 11? No 100¢ 100¢ $213 $213 +$0 (+0%)
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 3¢ $48 $82 +$34 (+72%)
Will Robin Risser be in France's Starting 11? No 99¢ 98¢ $59 $59 −$0 (-0%)
Will Bradley Barcola be in France's Starting 11? No 57¢ 66¢ $46 $53 +$7 (+15%)
Will Maxence Lacroix be in France's Starting 11? No 97¢ 96¢ $41 $40 −$0 (-1%)
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $32 $26 −$6 (-19%)
Will Désiré Doué be in France's Starting 11? No 36¢ 35¢ $25 $24 −$0 (-2%)
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $27 $22 −$4 (-17%)
Will Lucas Hernandez be in France's Starting 11? No 96¢ 96¢ $19 $19 −$0 (-0%)
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $18 $19 +$1 (+6%)
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $24 $17 −$7 (-29%)
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $28 $17 −$11 (-39%)
Will Ederson be in Brazil's Starting 11? No 100¢ 100¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+0%)
Will Marcus Thuram be in France's Starting 11? No 97¢ 97¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Evans vs. Giron: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 13 $29 $0 +0%
Daniel Evans vs. Marcos Giron: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $64 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Giron (-1.5) vs Evans (+1.5) Jun 13 $178 $0 +0%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 5.5 Jun 11 $484 $0 +0%
Cattolica: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Carlos Sanchez Jover Jun 11 $2,144 +$2 +0%
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Joao Lucas Da Silva Jun 11 $14 $0 +0%
Modena: Giorgia Pedone vs Mayar Sherif Jun 09 $1,531 +$2 +0%
Stuttgart Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Marcos Giron Jun 09 $13,657 +$14 +0%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $9,990 +$10 +0%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5 Jun 08 $3,196 +$3 +0%
Will Greece win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $7,986 +$8 +0%
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $24 +$12 +50%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Donna Vekic vs Carole Monnet Jun 07 $186 $0 +0%
United States vs. Germany: O/U 5.5 Jun 06 $12,272 +$12 +0%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 06 $11,588 +$12 +0%
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Daniil Glinka Jun 06 $1,732 +$2 +0%
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Jun 05 $13,576 +$14 +0%
Prostejov: Hynek Barton vs Taro Daniel Jun 05 $13,571 +$14 +0%
Birmingham: Filippo Romano vs Otto Virtanen Jun 05 $9,990 +$10 +0%
Centurion 2: Giles Hussey vs Philip Henning Jun 05 $3,298 +$3 +0%
France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 5.5 Jun 04 $539 +$1 +0%
Spread: France (-2.5) Jun 04 $546 +$1 +0%
Naef vs. Stoiana: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 04 $28 $0 +0%
Naef vs. Stoiana: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 04 $28 $0 +0%
Naef vs. Stoiana: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 04 $28 $0 +0%
Heilbronn: Henri Squire vs Marc Polmans Jun 02 $7,845 +$8 +0%
Foggia: Sapfo Sakellaridi vs Sofia Costoulas Jun 01 $9,612 +$10 +0%
Exact Score: Slovakia 1 - 1 Malta? Jun 01 $22 $0 +0%
Malta leading at halftime? Jun 01 $4 $0 +0%
Will Anastasia Potapova win the 2026 Women’s French Open? Jun 01 $6,259 +$12 +0%
Set Handicap: Potapova (-1.5) vs Kalinskaya (+1.5) Jun 01 $5,994 +$6 +0%
United States vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5 Jun 01 $5,523 +$5 +0%
Will Poland win on 2026-05-31? Jun 01 $4,143 +$4 +0%
Jodar vs. Busta: Match O/U 36.5 Jun 01 $88 $0 +0%
Jodar vs. Busta: Match O/U 38.5 Jun 01 $88 $0 +0%
Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 3.5 Jun 01 $80 $0 +0%
Svitolina vs. Bencic: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 01 $88 $0 +0%
Svitolina vs. Bencic: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 01 $1,087 +$1 +0%
Svitolina vs. Bencic: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 01 $88 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Svitolina (-1.5) vs Bencic (+1.5) Jun 01 $1,045 +$2 +0%
Elina Svitolina vs. Belinda Bencic: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 01 $764 +$1 +0%
Set Handicap: Jodar (-2.5) vs Busta (+2.5) May 31 $527 +$1 +0%
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 31 $5,481 +$14 +0%
Will Belinda Bencic win the 2026 Women’s French Open? May 31 $5,510 $0 -0%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta May 31 $4,136 +$4 +0%
Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-2.5) vs Nakashima (+2.5) May 31 $250 $0 +0%
Auger-Aliassime vs. Nakashima: Match O/U 38.5 May 31 $73 $0 +0%
Auger-Aliassime vs. Nakashima: Match O/U 36.5 May 31 $73 $0 +0%
Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Brandon Nakashima: Total Sets O/U 3.5 May 31 $582 +$1 +0%
Parry vs. Anisimova: Match O/U 23.5 May 30 $88 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 76% +$4,653
other 22% +$570
crypto 1% +$6
world 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Ibanez be in Brazil's Starting 11? BUY Yes 100¢ $1,109 1h
Will Igor Thiago be in Brazil's Starting 11? BUY Yes 100¢ $340 1h
Will Ibanez be in Brazil's Starting 11? BUY Yes 100¢ $1,109 1h
Will Matheus Cunha be in Brazil's Starting 11? BUY No 100¢ $221 1h
Will Igor Thiago be in Brazil's Starting 11? BUY Yes 100¢ $200 1h
Will Gabriel Martinelli be in Brazil's Starting 11? BUY No 100¢ $1,038 1h
Will Rayan be in Brazil's Starting 11? BUY No 100¢ $14 1h
Will Vinicius Jr be in Brazil's Starting 11? BUY Yes 100¢ $348 1h
Will Alex Sandro be in Brazil's Starting 11? BUY No 100¢ $272 1h
Will Gabriel Martinelli be in Brazil's Starting 11? BUY No 100¢ $51 1h
Will Ederson be in Brazil's Starting 11? BUY No 100¢ $15 1h
Will Bremer be in Brazil's Starting 11? BUY No 100¢ $278 1h
Will Fabinho be in Brazil's Starting 11? BUY No 100¢ $256 1h
Will Leo Pereira be in Brazil's Starting 11? BUY No 100¢ $443 1h
Will Rayan be in Brazil's Starting 11? BUY No 100¢ $305 1h
Will Weverton be in Brazil's Starting 11? BUY No 100¢ $251 1h
Will Wesley be in Brazil's Starting 11? BUY No 100¢ $213 1h
Will Bradley Barcola be in France's Starting 11? BUY No 61¢ $12 4h
Will Bradley Barcola be in France's Starting 11? BUY No 56¢ $7 4h
Will Bradley Barcola be in France's Starting 11? BUY No 56¢ $27 4h
Will Désiré Doué be in France's Starting 11? BUY No 36¢ $25 4h
Evans vs. Giron: Match O/U 22.5 BUY Over 100¢ $29 5h
Daniel Evans vs. Marcos Giron: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Over 2.5 100¢ $64 5h
Set Handicap: Giron (-1.5) vs Evans (+1.5) BUY Evans 100¢ $178 5h
Will Lucas Hernandez be in France's Starting 11? BUY No 96¢ $19 6h
Will Maxence Lacroix be in France's Starting 11? BUY No 97¢ $41 6h
Will Marcus Thuram be in France's Starting 11? BUY No 97¢ $10 6h
Will Robin Risser be in France's Starting 11? BUY No 99¢ $59 6h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 100¢ $3 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 100¢ $10 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-8.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 +4.0% -5.9% 100% 8% -9.4%
≤30d 133 +0.4% -9.1% 94% 1% -9.4%
≤90d 333 +1.1% -8.5% 95% 1% -9.2%
all 333 +1.1% -8.5% 95% 1% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover41.4 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.5% 1% -9.2%
10% -17.3% 1% -17.9%
15% ← realistic here -25.3% 1% -25.8%
20% -32.6% 1% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6,857.63 · official $6,857.27 (match) · 3500 history records