Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T12:15:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
59 0x59b5…0774 other 13 markets active 2h ago coverage 94d
TRAPdo not copy ⚠ Small sample
✗ negative after realistic slippage! limited sample (<25 closed)
Total PnL −$1 (-0%) realized −$1 · open +$0
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -10% what you keep after slip
Net edge-10%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 13L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$83per market
Trades / day0.3pace
Kalshi-fit54%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 46% −$1
politics 31% $0
tech 8% $0
crypto 8% $0
finance 8% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 3 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 12 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
all 13 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
— vs −$0 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

94d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 13
Open positions0
Markets (closed)13 / 13
History coverage94d
Avg bet$83
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit54%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 13 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 19 $81 $0 -0%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $81 $0 -0%
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 27 $82 $0 -0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? May 18 $82 $0 -0%
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 15 $82 $0 -0%
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026? May 12 $83 −$1 -1%
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026? Apr 19 $84 $0 -0%
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 13 $84 $0 +0%
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026? Apr 06 $84 $0 -0%
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 02 $84 $0 +0%
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Mar 28 $84 $0 +0%
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? Mar 21 $84 $0 +0%
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Mar 17 $84 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $81 1h
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $81 15h
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $81 12d
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $81 12d
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 96¢ $81 23d
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 97¢ $82 23d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? SELL No 99¢ $82 32d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? BUY No 99¢ $82 32d
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $82 35d
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $82 36d
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026? SELL No 99¢ $82 38d
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026? BUY No 100¢ $83 38d
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026? SELL No 100¢ $84 61d
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026? BUY No 100¢ $84 61d
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $84 67d
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $84 67d
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026? SELL No 99¢ $84 74d
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026? BUY No 100¢ $84 74d
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $84 78d
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $84 78d
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $84 83d
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $84 83d
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? SELL No 100¢ $84 89d
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? BUY No 100¢ $84 90d
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $84 93d
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $84 93d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 37 history records