Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:52:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

59
0x59a0…f43c
crypto · 1708 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$186 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$66 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$66
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses1022 / 686
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1708 / 1708
History coverage48d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day35.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1708 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days−$6
14 days−$6
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 60¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+67%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +36%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$66
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)-13.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 257 -2.4% -11.7% 67% 65% -11.7%
≤30d 257 -2.4% -11.7% 67% 65% -11.7%
≤90d 1708 -3.8% -13.0% 60% 60% -12.9%
all 1708 -3.8% -13.0% 60% 60% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover35.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.0% 60% -12.9%
10% ← realistic here -21.3% 59% -21.3%
15% -28.9% 56% -28.9%
20% -35.9% 44% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.67 · official $1.67 (match) · 3500 history records