Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:11:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

59
0x5999…bdbe
sports · 196 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$18,247 -359%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$17,665 · open −$541
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$481
Realized−$17,665
Unrealized−$541
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses113 / 229
Est. fees paid−$50
Open positions26
Markets (closed)342 / 196
History coverage1d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day2345.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 26 History 342 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$17,665
7 days−$17,665
14 days−$17,665
30 days−$17,665
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: United States (-2.5) Paraguay 60¢ 96¢ $52 $84 +$32 (+60%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Over 59¢ 100¢ $25 $43 +$18 (+69%)
Spread: United States (-1.5) United States 91¢ 100¢ $36 $39 +$3 (+10%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins St. Louis Cardinals 69¢ 52¢ $49 $38 −$12 (-24%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Over 63¢ 100¢ $21 $34 +$13 (+60%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Houston Astros 78¢ 86¢ $24 $27 +$3 (+11%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels 78¢ 74¢ $22 $22 −$1 (-4%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets New York Mets 77¢ 92¢ $18 $21 +$3 (+19%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins 60¢ 48¢ $25 $20 −$5 (-20%)
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? No 50¢ 8¢ $105 $18 −$87 (-83%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5 Under 61¢ 100¢ $10 $17 +$7 (+64%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Athletics 65¢ 66¢ $16 $17 +$0 (+3%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Tampa Bay Rays 57¢ 26¢ $37 $17 −$21 (-55%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Under 59¢ 96¢ $6 $10 +$4 (+64%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Arizona Diamondbacks 51¢ 100¢ $4 $9 +$4 (+96%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Ben Shelton 72¢ 48¢ $12 $8 −$4 (-32%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Over 58¢ 68¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+18%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5 Under 69¢ 100¢ $4 $7 +$2 (+46%)
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) Tampa Bay Rays 53¢ 46¢ $7 $6 −$1 (-14%)
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) Los Angeles Angels 52¢ 55¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+5%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 Under 56¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+79%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants 55¢ 57¢ $4 $5 +$0 (+5%)
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) Los Angeles Angels 59¢ 86¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+46%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5 Over 60¢ 22¢ $10 $4 −$7 (-64%)
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) Athletics 55¢ 50¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-9%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-05? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Modena: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Mayar Sherif Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $249 −$249 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $249 −$249 -100%
LoL: Galions vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: Washington Nationals (-4.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 13 $250 −$250 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners Jun 13 $250 −$250 -100%
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-07? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 13 $250 −$250 -100%
Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $255 −$249 -98%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Montgomery vs Minnen Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 13 $250 −$250 -100%
Valencia vs. Joventut Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Spread: Pistons (-4.5) Jun 13 $36 −$36 -100%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09? Jun 13 $202 −$202 -100%
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $250 −$250 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $248 −$248 -100%
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Antalyaspor end in a draw? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 13 $248 −$248 -100%
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Raptors (-4.5) Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on April 4? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09? Jun 13 $61 −$61 -100%
Maple Leafs vs. Ducks Jun 13 $49 −$49 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 6? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $249 −$249 -100%
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Jun 13 $34 −$34 -100%
Dota 2: PlayTime vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B Jun 13 $138 −$138 -100%
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 13 $248 −$248 -100%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $48 −$48 -100%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $56 −$56 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 13 $248 −$248 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins Jun 13 $37 −$37 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on April 1? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $249 −$249 -100%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B Jun 13 $225 −$225 -100%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-05-05? Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Alanyaspor vs. Kayserispor end in a draw? Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% +$249
other 5% −$178
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY St. Louis Cardinals 80¢ $2 0m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY St. Louis Cardinals 80¢ $2 0m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY St. Louis Cardinals 80¢ $2 0m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY St. Louis Cardinals 80¢ $2 0m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY St. Louis Cardinals 80¢ $2 0m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY St. Louis Cardinals 80¢ $2 0m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY St. Louis Cardinals 80¢ $2 0m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY St. Louis Cardinals 80¢ $2 0m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY St. Louis Cardinals 80¢ $2 0m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY St. Louis Cardinals 80¢ $2 0m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY St. Louis Cardinals 80¢ $2 0m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY St. Louis Cardinals 80¢ $2 0m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY St. Louis Cardinals 80¢ $2 0m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY St. Louis Cardinals 80¢ $2 0m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY St. Louis Cardinals 80¢ $2 0m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY St. Louis Cardinals 80¢ $2 1m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 65¢ $2 1m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY St. Louis Cardinals 80¢ $2 1m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY St. Louis Cardinals 80¢ $2 1m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY St. Louis Cardinals 80¢ $2 1m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 53¢ $2 1m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 55¢ $2 2m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 64¢ $2 4m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 64¢ $2 4m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 64¢ $2 4m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 77¢ $2 4m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 76¢ $2 4m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 77¢ $2 4m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 65¢ $2 6m
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) BUY Los Angeles Angels 52¢ $2 8m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-45.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 342 -40.2% -45.9% 33% 31% -80.4%
≤30d 342 -40.2% -45.9% 33% 31% -80.4%
≤90d 342 -40.2% -45.9% 33% 31% -80.4%
all 342 -40.2% -45.9% 33% 31% -80.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2345.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -45.9% 31% -80.4%
10% ← realistic here -51.0% 25% -82.3%
15% -55.8% 19% -84.0%
20% -60.1% 13% -85.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $481.32 · official $481.33 (match) · 3500 history records