Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:49:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

59
0x598e…755d
crypto · 793 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2,180 +13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,180 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,180
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses377 / 429
Est. fees paid−$24
Open positions0
Markets (closed)806 / 793
History coverage35d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day89.4
Drawdown20%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 806 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$187
7 days−$211
14 days+$41
30 days+$1,873
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 22¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+362%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Sinners 35¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TDK vs OG (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffs OG 44¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP - Map 2 Winner NIP 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) HANJIN BRION 35¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $57 −$58 -101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $90 −$90 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$42 -102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -109%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$35 +142%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$5 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$19 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$17 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$23 +148%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $33 −$30 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$21 +196%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$35 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $29 +$56 +191%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $31 +$33 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$44 +258%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $22 −$22 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $25 +$29 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $32 −$30 -96%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $3 +$3 +86%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 11 $6 +$5 +76%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $20 +$19 +97%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $3 +$3 +124%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 Jun 10 $5 +$5 +90%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 Jun 10 $10 +$9 +93%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 09 $18 −$17 -99%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 09 $15 −$15 -98%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 09 $16 −$15 -99%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 09 $10 +$8 +73%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $59 +$6 +10%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 Jun 09 $18 +$20 +109%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 91% +$2,443
sports 9% −$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $4 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $3 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 8¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 11¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 8¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 7¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 7¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 8¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Up 8¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 114 -15.9% -23.9% 33% 32% -21.0%
≤30d 738 -1.5% -10.9% 46% 45% +4.6%
≤90d 806 -2.2% -11.5% 47% 46% +4.7%
all 806 -2.2% -11.5% 47% 46% +4.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover89.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.5% 46% +4.7%
10% ← realistic here -20.0% 43% -5.3%
15% -27.7% 39% -14.4%
20% -34.8% 34% -22.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.42 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records