trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 57¢ | 62¢ | $107 | $117 | +$10 (+9%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 17¢ | $100 | $100 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 37¢ | 38¢ | $70 | $71 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 22¢ | 22¢ | $45 | $44 | −$1 (-2%) |
| United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 46¢ | 46¢ | $19 | $19 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic 1st Half O/U 0.5 | Over | 47¢ | 0¢ | $16 | $0 | −$16 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic 1st Half O/U 0.5 | Jun 12 | $17 | −$16 | -95% |
| Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | Jun 11 | $17 | +$17 | +101% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico 1st Half O/U 0.5 | Jun 11 | $21 | −$4 | -18% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -5.5% | -14.5% | 33% | 33% | -13.5% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -5.5% | -14.5% | 33% | 33% | -13.5% |
| ≤90d | 3 | -5.5% | -14.5% | 33% | 33% | -13.5% |
| all | 3 | -5.5% | -14.5% | 33% | 33% | -13.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.5% | 33% | -13.5% |
| 10% | -22.7% | 33% | -21.7% |
| 15% | -30.2% | 33% | -29.3% |
| 20% | -37.0% | 33% | -36.2% |