Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T21:14:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
59 0x597a…4f8f crypto 1696 markets active 0h ago coverage 31d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 30d only
✗ bot/MM pace (59 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$96 (-1%) realized −$96 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR2%break-even
Win rate96%1621W / 73L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day59.4pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit69%portable
Net worth$2now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$18
7 days−$26
14 days−$26
30 days−$114
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 65% −$60
other 35% −$56
sports 0% +$1
weather 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (59 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 59 -7.7% -16.5% 90% 7% -17.0%
≤30d 1520 -1.6% -11.0% 95% 2% -10.5%
≤90d 1694 -1.5% -10.9% 96% 2% -10.4%
all 1694 -1.5% -10.9% 96% 2% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover59.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.9% 2% -10.4%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 1% -19.0%
15% -27.2% 1% -26.8%
20% -34.3% 0% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$4 · ×0.03 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.57 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

31d coverage
Net worth$2
Realized−$96
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses1621 / 73
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1694 / 1696
History coverage31d ⚠
Avg bet$7
Trades / day59.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit69%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 2 History 1694 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 0¢ 56¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+0%)
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 92¢ 40¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-57%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 31 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 0m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET SELL Up 88¢ $2 0m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $6 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $6 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $13 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 86¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.91 · official $1.05 (match) · 3500 history records