Wallet analysis

2026-06-30T02:28:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
59 0x596e…f82f crypto 399 markets active 18d ago coverage 9d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (186 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,526 (-14%) realized −$1,526 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR54%break-even
Win rate55%221W / 178L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$27per market
Trades / day186.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days−$1,657
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,657
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (186 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-16.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 399 -8.1% -16.9% 55% 54% -23.4%
≤90d 399 -8.1% -16.9% 55% 54% -23.4%
all 399 -8.1% -16.9% 55% 54% -23.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover186.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.9% 54% -23.4%
10% ← realistic here -24.8% 53% -30.7%
15% -32.1% 51% -37.4%
20% -38.8% 38% -43.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -15% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -15% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -7% → late -9% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$16 vs −$29 · ×0.55 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.68 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

9d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,526
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses221 / 178
Open positions0
Markets (closed)399 / 399
History coverage9d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day186.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 399 Trades
no open positions (153 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $65 −$63 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $174 −$174 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $38 +$14 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$8 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$44 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$7 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$16 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $82 −$80 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $103 −$103 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $52 +$10 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 11 $82 −$82 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $31 +$11 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $104 +$96 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $72 −$72 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $61 +$26 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $102 +$37 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 11 $103 +$47 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $62 −$60 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $72 +$13 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 11 $43 −$42 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $79 −$76 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $70 +$64 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $32 +$48 +152%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $205 −$200 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $29 +$22 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $53 −$50 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $62 −$60 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 11 $51 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 11 $11 +$7 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 11 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 11 $31 +$34 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 11 $41 +$46 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $45 −$44 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$6 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 10 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 10 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 10 $51 +$16 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 10 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $63 +$81 +130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 10 $31 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 10 $41 −$40 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $41 +$27 +66%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 10 $45 +$21 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $128 +$116 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $40 −$39 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $62 17d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $41 17d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $15 17d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $51 17d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $51 17d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $15 17d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $52 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $5 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $17 17d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $38 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $14 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $143 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $20 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $51 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $28 17d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET SELL Down 79¢ $2 17d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET SELL Down 79¢ $20 17d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $15 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $15 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $15 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $67 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $51 17d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $21 18d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $61 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $51 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $52 18d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $62 18d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $52 18d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $41 18d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1809 history records