Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:04:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

59
0x5969…facf
crypto · 1575 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$52 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$52 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$52
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses1324 / 251
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1575 / 1575
History coverage61d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day26.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1575 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days+$5
14 days−$7
30 days−$20
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +124%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +73%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +83%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +48%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +46%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +129%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +20%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +124%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$52
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 35m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 50m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 16h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 22h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 22h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 33h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 38h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 39h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 43h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 43h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $1 43h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 43h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 44h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 44h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 44h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 44h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 44h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 45h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 45h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 45h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 46h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 46h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 46h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 46h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 351 +1.2% -8.4% 81% 44% -8.1%
≤30d 845 -1.7% -11.1% 82% 36% -11.5%
≤90d 1575 -2.0% -11.3% 84% 30% -11.5%
all 1575 -2.0% -11.3% 84% 30% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.3% 30% -11.5%
10% ← realistic here -19.8% 17% -20.0%
15% -27.6% 10% -27.7%
20% -34.7% 6% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3387 history records