Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:38:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

59
0x5968…7372
crypto · 37 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$18 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$16 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$16
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses21 / 12
Open positions4
Markets (closed)33 / 37
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day64.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 33 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$16
7 days−$16
14 days−$16
30 days−$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 50¢ 50¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 50¢ 50¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 50¢ 44¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-13%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$4 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$7 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$2 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $22 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$2 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +50%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -28%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Down 33¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Down 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-7.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 +2.3% -7.4% 64% 58% -18.4%
≤30d 33 +2.3% -7.4% 64% 58% -18.4%
≤90d 33 +2.3% -7.4% 64% 58% -18.4%
all 33 +2.3% -7.4% 64% 58% -18.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover64.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.4% 58% -18.4%
10% ← realistic here -16.3% 39% -26.2%
15% -24.4% 39% -33.4%
20% -31.8% 33% -39.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.70 · official $5.88 (match) · 91 history records