Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T06:48:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

59
0x594d…059d
sports · 72 markets active 1h ago
6.0score
+$314,492 +33%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$314,398 · open +$94
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
✓ In copytrade ★ In watchlist
Net worth$3,959
Realized+$314,398
Unrealized+$94
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses46 / 24
Whale WR (big bets)78%
Est. fees paid−$11,944
Open positions2
Markets (closed)70 / 72
Avg bet$13,157
Trades / day5.2
Drawdown10%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 2 History 70 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$28,096
7 days+$88,512
14 days+$203,350
30 days+$314,398
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Tatjana Maria 19¢ 20¢ $2,418 $2,504 +$87 (+4%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI KT Rolster 12¢ 12¢ $1,447 $1,454 +$7 (+0%)
Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Daniel Merida Aguilar 62¢ 0¢ $3,428 $0 −$3,428 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs MOUZ 54¢ 0¢ $1,466 $0 −$1,466 (-100%)
Geneva Open: Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navone Casper Ruud 63¢ 0¢ $2,943 $0 −$2,943 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe Jaime Faria 67¢ 0¢ $24,519 $0 −$24,519 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic Novak Djokovic 60¢ 0¢ $14,681 $0 −$14,681 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Quentin Halys Ugo Humbert 58¢ 0¢ $14,668 $0 −$14,668 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs Atreides (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Closed Qualifier Group D UNiTY esports 60¢ 0¢ $2,455 $0 −$2,455 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Closed Qualifier Group D ENCE 46¢ 0¢ $2,049 $0 −$2,049 (-100%)
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs 60¢ 0¢ $1,468 $0 −$1,468 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs FaZe 61¢ 0¢ $14,681 $0 −$14,681 (-100%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Tampa Bay Rays 69¢ 0¢ $2,453 $0 −$2,453 (-100%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Maddison Inglis vs Alycia Parks Alycia Parks 68¢ 0¢ $2,453 $0 −$2,453 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Hanwha Life Esports 66¢ 0¢ $14,707 $0 −$14,707 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Karmine Corp 64¢ 0¢ $24,498 $0 −$24,498 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs Dplus KIA 17¢ 0¢ $483 $0 −$483 (-100%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles Detroit Tigers 66¢ 0¢ $3,431 $0 −$3,431 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Liquid 30¢ 0¢ $4,854 $0 −$4,854 (-100%)
Valorant: Global Esports vs Nongshim RedForce (BO5) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2 Nongshim RedForce 53¢ 0¢ $1,465 $0 −$1,465 (-100%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-05-29? Yes 50¢ 0¢ $9,759 $0 −$9,759 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $3,013 +$2,092 +69%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $8,501 +$9,623 +113%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Jun 11 $15,001 +$10,786 +72%
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 10 $5,001 +$5,595 +112%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $66,000 +$73,815 +112%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $25,006 −$24,498 -98%
Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Jun 07 $3,501 −$3,428 -98%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Maddison Inglis vs Alycia Parks Jun 07 $2,501 −$2,453 -98%
Prostejov: Sebastian Baez vs Alex Molcan Jun 07 $3,000 +$1,904 +64%
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Rebeka Masarova Jun 06 $3,000 +$1,892 +63%
Will Kashima Antlers vs. Vissel Kōbe end in a draw? Jun 06 $2,500 +$1,213 +48%
Will Azerbaijan vs. Malta end in a draw? Jun 05 $2,500 +$1,106 +44%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jun 05 $35,000 +$10,864 +31%
Will Northern Ireland vs. Guinea end in a draw? Jun 04 $12,501 +$5,098 +41%
Will Croatia vs. Belgium end in a draw? Jun 02 $25,006 +$8,175 +33%
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirstea Jun 02 $30,000 +$13,902 +46%
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini Jun 01 $76,000 +$44,012 +58%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev Jun 01 $18,006 +$22,044 +122%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 31 $76,013 +$39,577 +52%
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe May 30 $25,010 −$24,519 -98%
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox May 30 $5,000 −$2,546 -51%
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds May 30 $45,000 +$33,535 +74%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-05-29? May 29 $10,004 −$9,759 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic May 29 $15,003 −$14,681 -98%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 29 $60,000 +$19,603 +33%
Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs May 28 $15,000 −$14,681 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Tabilo vs Valentin Vacherot May 28 $15,500 −$1,041 -7%
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians May 27 $40,000 +$22,180 +56%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 27 $35,007 +$26,194 +75%
Roland Garros ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Quentin Halys May 27 $15,000 −$14,668 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 27 $15,002 −$14,707 -98%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 27 $51,000 +$30,831 +60%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 26 $5,004 −$4,854 -97%
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs Atreides (BO3) - European Pro League May 26 $2,509 −$2,455 -98%
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - European Pro Leag May 26 $2,102 −$2,049 -98%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea May 26 $500 −$483 -97%
Knicks vs. Cavaliers May 26 $7,100 +$5,742 +81%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles May 25 $2,500 −$2,453 -98%
Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers May 25 $1,201 +$2,005 +167%
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs May 25 $2,002 +$2,304 +115%
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Roun May 25 $2,500 +$923 +37%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffs May 25 $13,504 +$8,533 +63%
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles May 24 $3,500 −$3,431 -98%
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $500 +$1,275 +255%
Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $6,002 +$2,132 +36%
Valorant: Global Esports vs Nongshim RedForce (BO5) - Esports World Cu May 24 $1,500 −$1,465 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships P May 24 $1,501 +$2,104 +140%
Knicks vs. Cavaliers May 24 $25,000 +$29,121 +116%
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox May 23 $20,359 −$14,954 -74%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $15,916 +$5,145 +32%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% +$315,510
other 5% −$1,018
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Tatjana Maria 19¢ $2,501 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster 12¢ $1,500 1h
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez SELL Thiago Cigarran 33¢ $5,105 10h
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez BUY Thiago Cigarran 19¢ $3,013 13h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 46¢ $8,501 22h
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM BUY LOUD 57¢ $15,001 37h
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel SELL Nikola Bartunkova 69¢ $10,596 41h
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel BUY Nikola Bartunkova 31¢ $5,001 47h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 46¢ $66,000 4d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs BUY Karmine Corp 64¢ $25,006 4d
Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Daniel Merida Aguilar BUY Daniel Merida Aguilar 62¢ $3,501 4d
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Maddison Inglis vs Alycia Parks BUY Alycia Parks 68¢ $2,501 4d
Prostejov: Sebastian Baez vs Alex Molcan BUY Sebastian Baez 60¢ $3,000 5d
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Rebeka Masarova BUY Alexandra Eala 60¢ $3,000 5d
Will Kashima Antlers vs. Vissel Kōbe end in a draw? BUY No 66¢ $2,500 6d
Will Azerbaijan vs. Malta end in a draw? BUY No 68¢ $2,500 6d
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev BUY Alexander Zverev 75¢ $35,000 6d
Will Northern Ireland vs. Guinea end in a draw? BUY No 70¢ $12,501 7d
Will Croatia vs. Belgium end in a draw? SELL No 100¢ $33,181 9d
Will Croatia vs. Belgium end in a draw? BUY No 74¢ $6,687 9d
Will Croatia vs. Belgium end in a draw? BUY No 73¢ $18,319 9d
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirstea BUY Mirra Andreeva 67¢ $30,000 9d
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini BUY Matteo Berrettini 62¢ $76,000 10d
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev BUY Jakub Mensik 44¢ $18,006 11d
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BUY Dplus KIA 64¢ $76,013 12d
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jaime Faria 67¢ $25,010 12d
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Detroit Tigers 16¢ $2,454 12d
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Detroit Tigers 31¢ $5,000 12d
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Atlanta Braves 56¢ $45,000 13d
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-05-29? BUY Yes 50¢ $10,004 13d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +66%
net ROI/market (all)+4.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 +33.0% +20.3% 77% 77% +36.5%
≤30d 70 +15.8% +4.8% 66% 66% +20.7%
≤90d 70 +15.8% +4.8% 66% 66% +20.7%
all 70 +15.8% +4.8% 66% 66% +20.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.2 tr/day
realistic slip~12%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +4.8% 66% +20.7%
10% ← realistic here -5.2% 66% +9.2%
15% -14.4% 57% -1.4%
20% -22.8% 41% -11.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,958.67 · official $3,958.67 (match) · 140 history records