Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T11:09:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

59
0x5947…c7dc
crypto · 635 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
−$1,862 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,062 · open +$189
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,638
Realized−$2,062
Unrealized+$189
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses377 / 265
Whale WR (big bets)56%
Open positions14
Markets (closed)642 / 635
History coverage109d
Avg bet$116
Trades / day28.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 14 History 642 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,510
7 days−$3,096
14 days−$3,084
30 days−$2,968
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Yes 90¢ 94¢ $716 $756 +$40 (+6%)
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026? No 89¢ 97¢ $455 $496 +$42 (+9%)
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? No 96¢ 97¢ $276 $280 +$4 (+2%)
Will Ralph Norman win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election? No 99¢ 100¢ $198 $200 +$2 (+1%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June? No 56¢ 90¢ $120 $193 +$73 (+61%)
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Yes 27¢ 64¢ $46 $111 +$64 (+139%)
Will Rom Reddy win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election? No 98¢ 100¢ $98 $100 +$2 (+3%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June? No 70¢ 94¢ $74 $98 +$25 (+33%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 98¢ 98¢ $98 $98 +$0 (+0%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June? No 91¢ 97¢ $91 $97 +$6 (+6%)
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Yes 68¢ 33¢ $135 $66 −$70 (-51%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June? No 96¢ 98¢ $58 $59 +$1 (+2%)
Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election? No 96¢ 100¢ $48 $50 +$2 (+4%)
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? Yes 89¢ 84¢ $37 $35 −$2 (-6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $400 −$400 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $99 −$99 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $758 −$758 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $110 −$22 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $104 +$34 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $104 +$30 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $103 +$22 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $104 +$26 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $103 +$15 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$12 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $205 −$13 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$12 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $154 +$68 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$4 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $233 −$11 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $102 −$24 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $207 +$38 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$9 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $152 −$81 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $70 +$52 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $240 −$25 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $136 +$81 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $263 −$21 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $206 −$80 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $104 +$18 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $104 +$27 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $103 +$21 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $103 +$22 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$15 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 81% +$445
finance 11% +$475
world 4% −$371
tech 3% +$16
politics 1% +$13
other 0% +$54
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Down 29¢ $80 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $105 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $36 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-13.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 313 -3.0% -12.3% 60% 44% -17.0%
≤30d 580 -4.9% -13.9% 58% 44% -13.4%
≤90d 613 -4.5% -13.6% 59% 44% -13.4%
all 642 -4.8% -13.8% 59% 44% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover28.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.8% 44% -11.8%
10% ← realistic here -22.1% 33% -20.2%
15% -29.6% 24% -28.0%
20% -36.5% 18% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,638.28 · official $2,638.29 (match) · 3500 history records