Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T09:08:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
59 0x5943…869e sports 167 markets active 2d ago coverage 50d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$650 (-5%) realized −$650 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -15% what you keep after slip
Net edge-15%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate51%86W / 81L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$77per market
Trades / day11.8pace
Fees−$230est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$834
7 days−$1,381
14 days−$793
30 days−$793
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 99% −$913
other 0% +$40
crypto 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-7.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 110 -3.5% -12.7% 48% 46% -23.7%
≤30d 153 +3.6% -6.3% 52% 50% -15.3%
≤90d 167 +2.0% -7.7% 51% 50% -15.7%
all 167 +2.0% -7.7% 51% 50% -15.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover11.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.7% 50% -15.7%
10% -16.6% 47% -23.7%
15% -24.6% 43% -31.1%
20% -32.0% 33% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late +7% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.5 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$42 vs −$56 · ×0.76 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.81 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

50d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$650
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses86 / 81
Est. fees paid−$230
Open positions0
Markets (closed)167 / 167
History coverage50d
Avg bet$77
Trades / day11.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 167 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $52 −$38 -73%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $128 −$103 -80%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 13 $38 −$38 -100%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $18 +$42 +227%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $58 −$5 -8%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty Le Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $42 −$42 -100%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $161 −$107 -67%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $61 −$61 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $66 −$66 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $74 −$74 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $55 −$55 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $62 +$52 +83%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $74 −$74 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $69 −$69 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $127 −$127 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $69 +$82 +118%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $83 +$49 +59%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $30 +$91 +300%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $32 −$13 -41%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $42 +$17 +40%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5) Jun 12 $12 +$30 +246%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl Jun 12 $63 +$56 +89%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $62 −$49 -80%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $25 −$23 -92%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $86 +$42 +49%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $25 +$14 +56%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $50 +$23 +46%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $75 −$61 -81%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $268 −$70 -26%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $91 −$91 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $152 +$60 +40%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 12 $51 −$34 -67%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $93 −$93 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 12 $113 −$113 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $144 −$126 -87%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $182 −$111 -61%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $249 +$135 +54%
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 12 $46 +$35 +76%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $25 +$11 +44%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $36 +$56 +156%
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) Jun 12 $15 +$25 +162%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $24 +$16 +67%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $46 +$31 +67%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL EDward Gaming 100¢ $60 41h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 29¢ $6 41h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 31¢ $12 41h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 26¢ $14 41h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 26¢ $1 41h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner SELL MOUZ 10¢ $25 41h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Team Falcons 64¢ $32 42h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 49¢ $45 42h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 49¢ $15 42h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 39¢ $20 42h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 37¢ $17 42h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 37¢ $17 42h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 65¢ $16 42h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 65¢ $4 42h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 65¢ $12 42h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Team Falcons 60¢ $0 42h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Team Falcons 59¢ $21 42h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $25 42h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Aurora Gaming 100¢ $151 42h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Aurora Gaming 45¢ $69 44h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) BUY Team Falcons 50¢ $38 45h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Team WE 31¢ $9 45h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner SELL Team WE 12¢ $14 45h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Team WE 32¢ $10 45h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Team WE 36¢ $32 45h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 28¢ $24 45h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY B8 51¢ $17 47h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY B8 51¢ $28 47h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY B8 51¢ $28 47h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 44¢ $16 47h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 674 history records