Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:17:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

59
0x5942…0d39
crypto · 1294 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$3 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized+$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)15%
Wins / losses193 / 1100
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1293 / 1294
History coverage5d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day92.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1293 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$3
14 days+$3
30 days+$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 50¢ 56¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+11%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 50¢ 44¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-11%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -71%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 28¢ $1 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Down 22¢ $0 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Down 24¢ $0 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 34¢ $0 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Down 25¢ $0 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET SELL Down 25¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET SELL Up 29¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Down 25¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET SELL Down 33¢ $0 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Down 21¢ $0 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 31¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Down 18¢ $0 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET SELL Down 25¢ $0 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $0 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Up 29¢ $0 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 26¢ $0 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Up 33¢ $0 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Up 33¢ $0 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Up 24¢ $0 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET SELL Up 34¢ $0 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Up 30¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 29¢ $0 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Up 29¢ $0 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 33¢ $1 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 27¢ $1 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Down 21¢ $0 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 34¢ $1 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $0 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1293 +0.2% -9.4% 15% 5% -9.4%
≤30d 1293 +0.2% -9.4% 15% 5% -9.4%
≤90d 1293 +0.2% -9.4% 15% 5% -9.4%
all 1293 +0.2% -9.4% 15% 5% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover92.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 5% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.1% 3% -18.1%
15% -26.0% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.00 · official $2.00 (match) · 3500 history records