trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +11.3% | +0.7% | 100% | 100% | +0.7% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +2.8% | -7.0% | 75% | 25% | -7.7% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -2.2% | -11.5% | 85% | 23% | -8.2% |
| all | 17 | -1.6% | -11.0% | 88% | 18% | -8.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.0% | 18% | -8.3% |
| 10% | -19.5% | 6% | -17.1% |
| 15% | -27.3% | 0% | -25.1% |
| 20% | -34.4% | 0% | -32.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 98¢ | $49 | $48 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Jun 17 | $26 | +$3 | +11% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June | Jun 05 | $55 | −$1 | -1% |
| Gemini 3.5 released by May 31? | May 22 | $26 | $0 | +1% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May? | May 19 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 15 | $27 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on | May 13 | $22 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? | Apr 29 | $2 | −$2 | -96% |
| Knicks vs. Thunder | Apr 29 | $2 | +$1 | +32% |
| Clippers vs. Bucks | Apr 29 | $3 | $0 | +14% |
| Wizards vs. Trail Blazers | Apr 29 | $5 | $0 | +10% |
| Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026? | Mar 29 | $4 | $0 | +2% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 | Mar 29 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66? | Mar 29 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more? | Feb 06 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 31, 2026? | Feb 06 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? | Feb 06 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | Feb 06 | $13 | $0 | +0% |