Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:12:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

59
0x5920…2f2a
sports · 196 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$116 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$116 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$187
Realized−$116
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses68 / 90
Est. fees paid−$15
Open positions38
Markets (closed)158 / 196
History coverage91d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day6.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 38 History 158 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$114
7 days−$107
14 days−$114
30 days−$114
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Under 51¢ 80¢ $25 $39 +$14 (+56%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 52¢ 100¢ $14 $27 +$13 (+91%)
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun Indiana Fever 76¢ 90¢ $20 $24 +$4 (+18%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) 9z 33¢ 100¢ $7 $20 +$14 (+201%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Under 72¢ 94¢ $11 $14 +$3 (+31%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Under 63¢ 89¢ $6 $9 +$3 (+42%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 67¢ 56¢ $8 $7 −$1 (-17%)
Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5) Connecticut Sun 60¢ 64¢ $6 $7 +$0 (+7%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 3.5 Corners Under 48¢ 82¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+71%)
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? No 63¢ 81¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+29%)
Dota 2: BALU vs summer bear - Game 2 Winner BALU 60¢ 100¢ $2 $4 +$1 (+67%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Under 33¢ 70¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+114%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Under 68¢ 68¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel Diane Parry 62¢ 62¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 5.5 Corners Under 55¢ 68¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+25%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5 Under 37¢ 37¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+0%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Under 56¢ 56¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+0%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Under 38¢ 40¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+5%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 4.5 Corners Under 47¢ 41¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-13%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5 Under 33¢ 33¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? No 96¢ 96¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-1%)
Austria vs. Jordan: Austria 1st Half O/U 1.5 Over 27¢ 26¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-4%)
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? No 77¢ 78¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Draw at halftime? No 76¢ 76¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $3 +$2 +76%
ITF Cuiaba: Martina Capurro Taborda vs Antonia Rivera Jun 13 $15 +$11 +72%
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Carolina Royal Ravens - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $2 +$3 +158%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $8 +$2 +21%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $6 +$5 +76%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Jun 13 $11 +$14 +133%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $2 +$4 +216%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $3 +$2 +50%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $4 +$3 +86%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $10 +$5 +53%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $3 +$2 +50%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $8 +$2 +29%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $2 +$4 +238%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $3 +$2 +97%
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Gr Jun 13 $10 +$16 +164%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $4 +$6 +150%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $19 +$11 +57%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $8 +$2 +25%
Counter-Strike: Washed vs MASONIC - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $4 +$1 +20%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand Jun 13 $17 −$17 -99%
ITF Los Angeles: Alina Shcherbinina vs Alexandra Vagramov Jun 13 $3 −$3 -99%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 13 $4 +$3 +76%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $20 +$6 +31%
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Dripmen (BO5) - UKIC Masters Divisi Jun 13 $13 +$2 +13%
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty League Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: Washed vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs Jun 13 $14 −$9 -62%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $22 −$18 -80%
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Nexus - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $3 +$2 +60%
Switzerland leading at halftime? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 2.5 Corners Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $6 +$5 +88%
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $4 +$1 +36%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 13 $45 −$39 -86%
ITF Los Angeles: Andrew Johnson vs Spencer Johnson Jun 13 $4 −$4 -99%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona Jun 13 $7 −$7 -99%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec Jun 13 $14 −$7 -53%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic Jun 13 $3 +$2 +48%
Basket Zielona Gora vs. Legia Warszawa Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Fenerbahce vs. Besiktas: O/U 163.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Canada leading at halftime? Jun 13 $6 $0 -3%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $13 −$2 -12%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) Jun 13 $3 +$4 +158%
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) Jun 13 $3 +$4 +140%
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5) Jun 13 $3 +$6 +206%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 69% −$97
crypto 25% −$19
other 6% +$4
tech 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ITF Cuiaba: Martina Capurro Taborda vs Antonia Rivera BUY Antonia Rivera 58¢ $3 42m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Corners BUY Over 73¢ $4 46m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 5.5 Corners BUY Over 40¢ $2 47m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 5.5 Corners BUY Over 39¢ $2 47m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 67¢ $8 47m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel BUY Diane Parry 62¢ $3 49m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Under 70¢ $4 52m
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun BUY Indiana Fever 76¢ $20 54m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 3.5 Corners BUY Under 48¢ $2 54m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Under 56¢ $3 55m
Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5) BUY Connecticut Sun 61¢ $3 56m
Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5) BUY Connecticut Sun 59¢ $3 57m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Under 54¢ $3 57m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 4.5 Corners BUY Under 47¢ $2 58m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Corners BUY Under 26¢ $1 58m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Under 53¢ $3 58m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Under 51¢ $3 59m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Under 51¢ $3 59m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Under 51¢ $3 1h
ITF Cuiaba: Martina Capurro Taborda vs Antonia Rivera BUY Antonia Rivera 48¢ $2 1h
ITF Cuiaba: Martina Capurro Taborda vs Antonia Rivera BUY Antonia Rivera 46¢ $2 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Under 49¢ $3 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Under 72¢ $4 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Under 48¢ $3 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Under 47¢ $2 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 5.5 Corners BUY Under 57¢ $3 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Under 70¢ $4 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Under 33¢ $2 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Under 55¢ $3 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 5.5 Corners BUY Under 54¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-13.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 129 -6.8% -15.6% 42% 39% -21.9%
≤30d 151 -3.6% -12.8% 42% 38% -19.3%
≤90d 155 -5.0% -14.0% 42% 38% -19.5%
all 158 -4.7% -13.8% 43% 39% -19.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.8% 39% -19.2%
10% -22.0% 32% -27.0%
15% -29.5% 30% -34.0%
20% -36.5% 25% -40.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $186.53 · official $184.58 · 711 history records