Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:56:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

59
0x591f…85b4
other · 106 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$23 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$23 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$23
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)8%
Wins / losses9 / 97
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)106 / 106
History coverage87d
Avg bet$58
Trades / day3.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit46%
Chart Positions 0 History 106 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 13 $23 $0 -0%
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 10 $10 $0 -0%
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 09 $213 $0 -0%
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 08 $59 $0 -0%
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 05 $10 $0 -0%
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 03 $10 $0 -0%
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 02 $10 $0 -0%
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 01 $11 $0 -0%
Will Solana dip to $40 in May? Jun 01 $19 $0 +0%
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 31 $10 $0 -0%
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 30 $10 $0 -0%
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movi May 24 $12 $0 -0%
Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2 May 23 $64 $0 -0%
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 18 $118 $0 -0%
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 17 $103 $0 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 14 $110 $0 -0%
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 13 $50 $0 -0%
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 12 $49 $0 -0%
Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 10 $52 $0 -0%
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 10 $52 $0 -0%
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? May 09 $50 $0 -0%
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026? May 09 $49 $0 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 08 $162 $0 -0%
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series? May 07 $52 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 06 $52 $0 -0%
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 05 $132 $0 -0%
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 04 $53 $0 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 03 $52 $0 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 02 $51 $0 -0%
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 02 $102 $0 -0%
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 01 $55 $0 -0%
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June Apr 30 $51 $0 -0%
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 29 $86 $0 -0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me Apr 29 $55 $0 -0%
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 28 $122 $0 -0%
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 27 $139 $0 -0%
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? Apr 20 $52 $0 -0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 m Apr 19 $53 $0 -0%
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026? Apr 18 $53 $0 -0%
Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 18 $56 $0 -0%
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 17 $54 $0 -0%
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair? Apr 16 $51 $0 -0%
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026? Apr 16 $50 $0 -0%
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on Apr 16 $55 $0 -0%
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Apr 16 $51 $0 -0%
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026? Apr 15 $54 $0 -0%
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026? Apr 15 $124 $0 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Apr 15 $54 $0 -0%
Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 14 $53 $0 -0%
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Apr 14 $175 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 67% +$15
politics 20% −$1
sports 6% −$36
economics 6% $0
culture 1% $0
world 1% $0
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $11 1h
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $11 3h
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $12 39h
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $12 44h
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $10 2d
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $10 2d
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $7 3d
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $7 3d
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $8 4d
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $8 4d
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $10 7d
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $10 7d
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 100¢ $10 9d
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 100¢ $10 9d
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $10 10d
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $10 10d
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $11 11d
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $11 11d
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $10 12d
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $10 12d
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $10 13d
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $10 13d
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movi SELL No 99¢ $12 19d
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movi BUY No 100¢ $12 19d
Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2 SELL No 100¢ $10 20d
Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2 BUY No 100¢ $10 20d
Will Solana dip to $40 in May? BUY No 100¢ $19 24d
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $53 25d
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $53 25d
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $51 26d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -0.1% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 16 -0.1% -9.6% 6% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 106 -1.7% -11.0% 8% 8% -9.9%
all 106 -1.7% -11.0% 8% 8% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.0% 8% -9.9%
10% -19.5% 7% -18.5%
15% -27.3% 6% -26.4%
20% -34.4% 6% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 280 history records