Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T15:36:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
59 0x5917…db33 crypto 1673 markets active 0h ago coverage 21d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 20d only
✗ bot/MM pace (164 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$494 (-18%) realized −$495 · open +$1
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR53%break-even
Win rate82%1365W / 307L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day163.8pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$1now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days+$6
14 days−$32
30 days−$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$7
sports 0% −$1
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (164 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 511 +0.7% -8.9% 85% 68% -8.8%
≤30d 1672 -0.5% -10.0% 82% 53% -9.9%
≤90d 1672 -0.5% -10.0% 82% 53% -9.9%
all 1672 -0.5% -10.0% 82% 53% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover163.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 53% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 8% -18.5%
15% -26.5% 2% -26.4%
20% -33.7% 1% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
33% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.22 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.97 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

21d coverage
Net worth$1
Realized−$495
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses1365 / 307
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1672 / 1673
History coverage21d ⚠
Avg bet$2
Trades / day163.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 1672 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Down 0¢ 66¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 20 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 18 $1 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 18 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 18 $1 $0 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 18 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +22%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 18 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +11%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 18 $1 $0 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +25%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 18 $1 $0 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 18 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 18 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +19%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $2 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $2 24m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $2 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $2 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.35 · official $1.08 (match) · 3500 history records