Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T13:35:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
59 0x5914…265f crypto 16 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover! limited sample (<25 closed)
Total PnL −$1 (-5%) realized −$1 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -19% what you keep after slip
Net edge-19%after slip
Net WR6%break-even
Win rate94%15W / 1L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day17.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-12.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 -3.1% -12.3% 94% 6% -16.3%
≤30d 16 -3.1% -12.3% 94% 6% -16.3%
≤90d 16 -3.1% -12.3% 94% 6% -16.3%
all 16 -3.1% -12.3% 94% 6% -16.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover17.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.3% 6% -16.3%
10% -20.7% 0% -24.3%
15% -28.4% 0% -31.6%
20% -35.4% 0% -38.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 34% · top 2 49% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
93% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -9% → late +2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.28 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses15 / 1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)16 / 16
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day17.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 16 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 32 history records