Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:50:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

59
0x5913…a04b
crypto · 17 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$72 -55%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$72 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$72
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses6 / 11
Open positions0
Markets (closed)17 / 17
History coverage1d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day21.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 17 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$72
7 days−$72
14 days−$72
30 days−$72
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$14 +93%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$10 +93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$72
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-37.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 -30.4% -37.0% 35% 35% -59.7%
≤30d 17 -30.4% -37.0% 35% 35% -59.7%
≤90d 17 -30.4% -37.0% 35% 35% -59.7%
all 17 -30.4% -37.0% 35% 35% -59.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -37.0% 35% -59.7%
10% ← realistic here -43.0% 35% -63.5%
15% -48.5% 29% -67.1%
20% -53.6% 29% -70.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 42 history records