Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T20:02:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
59 0x5912…6f45 sports 397 markets active 2h ago coverage 49d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 49d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (63 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$19,065 (+2%) realized +$19,065 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR2%break-even
Win rate99%393W / 4L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$2,644per market
Trades / day62.7pace
Fees−$494est.
Kalshi-fit92%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 49d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 86% +$7,586
other 13% +$392
crypto 2% +$132
world 0% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (63 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-8.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 91 +0.8% -8.8% 100% 1% -9.3%
≤30d 294 +2.3% -7.4% 100% 2% -9.2%
≤90d 397 +1.5% -8.2% 99% 2% -8.8%
all 397 +1.5% -8.2% 99% 2% -8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover62.7 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.2% 2% -8.8%
10% -17.0% 1% -17.5%
15% ← realistic here -25.0% 1% -25.5%
20% -32.3% 1% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 26% · top 2 46% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$3,580) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +0% → late +3% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
7.7 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$21 vs −$16 · ×1.29 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×126.41 per $1 lost it wins $126.41
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

49d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$19,065
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses393 / 4
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$494
Open positions0
Markets (closed)397 / 397
History coverage49d ⚠
Avg bet$2,644
Trades / day62.7
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit92%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 397 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Arthur Gea Jun 24 $14,486 +$14 +0%
Set 2 Winner: Andreescu vs Teichmann Jun 24 $34 $0 +0%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Kyrian Jacquet Jun 24 $13 $0 +1%
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Jack Draper vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 24 $676 +$1 +0%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Katie Volynets vs Elizara Yaneva Jun 24 $420 $0 +0%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Francisca Jorge vs Lina Gjorcheska Jun 24 $109 +$1 +1%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Justina Mikulskyte vs Lucia Bronzetti Jun 24 $129 $0 +0%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Anastasia Gasanova vs Emerson Jones Jun 24 $1,702 +$6 +0%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Keegan Smith vs Moez Echargui Jun 24 $13,986 +$14 +0%
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Petra Marcinko vs Kimberly Birrell Jun 24 $495 +$5 +1%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Elias Ymer vs Timofey Skatov Jun 24 $236 $0 +0%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Jaime Faria vs Luka Pavlovic Jun 24 $584 +$1 +0%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Julia Riera vs Fiona Crawley Jun 24 $50 $0 +1%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 24 $8,785 +$9 +0%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Elena Pridankina vs Suzan Lamens Jun 24 $302 +$3 +1%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Darwin Blanch Jun 24 $3,796 +$4 +0%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Federico Cina Jun 24 $584 +$6 +1%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs August Holmgren Jun 24 $1,235 +$1 +0%
Set 2 Winner: Swiatek vs Navarro Jun 24 $34 $0 +0%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Paul Jubb vs Tomas Barrios Jun 24 $9,676 +$10 +0%
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Caty McNally vs Emiliana Arango Jun 24 $92 $0 +0%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Clement Tabur Jun 24 $14,985 +$15 +0%
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Completed Match: Taylor Fritz vs Jan Choinski Jun 24 $54 +$1 +1%
Bad Homburg Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 24 $9,986 +$14 +0%
Croatia to score first vs. Panama? Jun 24 $934 +$9 +1%
Exact Score: Panama 0 - 1 Croatia? Jun 24 $9,900 +$100 +1%
Édgar Bárcenas: 1+ goals Jun 24 $84 $0 +0%
Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia 2nd Half O/U 0.5 Jun 24 $2 $0 +1%
Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Ghana? Jun 23 $15,271 +$15 +0%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 23 $2,890 +$3 +0%
Mallorca Championships: Lorenzo Sonego vs Miomir Kecmanovic Jun 23 $960 +$10 +1%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Alice Tubello vs Elena Pridankina Jun 23 $2,102 +$2 +0%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Celine Naef vs Joanna Garland Jun 23 $2,980 +$3 +0%
Mallorca Championships: Marc Polmans vs Grigor Dimitrov Jun 23 $27 $0 +1%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Noma Noha Akugue vs Lisa Pigato Jun 23 $222 +$1 +0%
Targu Mures: Ilia Simakin vs Marko Topo Jun 23 $74 $0 +0%
Mallorca Championships: Damir Dzumhur vs Vit Kopriva Jun 23 $4,331 +$4 +0%
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Alicia Dudeney vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Jun 23 $6,221 +$6 +0%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Greet Minnen vs Fiona Ferro Jun 23 $77 $0 +0%
Plovdiv: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Nikita Bilozertsev Jun 23 $43 $0 +0%
Targu Mures: Michele Ribecai vs Niels McDonald Jun 23 $4,995 +$5 +0%
Mallorca Championships (Doubles): Krajicek/Mektic vs Kyrgios/Smith Jun 23 $27 +$1 +2%
Targu Mures: Sergey Fomin vs Max Alcala Gurri Jun 23 $1,267 +$1 +0%
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Completed Match: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jaco Jun 23 $54 +$1 +1%
Targu Mures: Completed Match: Gabi Boitan vs Denis Yevseyev Jun 23 $54 +$1 +1%
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Austria? Jun 22 $7,962 +$8 +0%
Will Markéta Vondroušová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? Jun 22 $4,889 +$23 +0%
Austria to score first vs. Argentina? Jun 22 $1,764 +$2 +0%
Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 22 $574 +$6 +1%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Matej Dodig vs Frederico Ferreira Silva Jun 22 $5,669 +$6 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Arthur Gea BUY Soon-Woo Kwon 100¢ $523 1h
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Arthur Gea BUY Soon-Woo Kwon 100¢ $6,680 1h
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Arthur Gea BUY Soon-Woo Kwon 100¢ $50 1h
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Arthur Gea BUY Soon-Woo Kwon 100¢ $70 1h
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Arthur Gea BUY Soon-Woo Kwon 100¢ $3,558 1h
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Arthur Gea BUY Soon-Woo Kwon 100¢ $2 1h
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Arthur Gea BUY Soon-Woo Kwon 100¢ $28 1h
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Arthur Gea BUY Soon-Woo Kwon 100¢ $5 1h
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Arthur Gea BUY Soon-Woo Kwon 100¢ $7 1h
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Arthur Gea BUY Soon-Woo Kwon 100¢ $3,563 1h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Katie Volynets vs Elizara Yaneva BUY Katie Volynets 100¢ $13 2h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Katie Volynets vs Elizara Yaneva BUY Katie Volynets 100¢ $5 2h
Set 2 Winner: Andreescu vs Teichmann BUY Andreescu 100¢ $34 2h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Katie Volynets vs Elizara Yaneva BUY Katie Volynets 100¢ $359 2h
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Kyrian Jacquet BUY Kyrian Jacquet 99¢ $13 2h
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Jack Draper vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Jack Draper 100¢ $326 2h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Katie Volynets vs Elizara Yaneva BUY Katie Volynets 100¢ $43 2h
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Jack Draper vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Jack Draper 100¢ $350 2h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Anastasia Gasanova vs Emerson Jones BUY Anastasia Gasanova 100¢ $43 2h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Anastasia Gasanova vs Emerson Jones BUY Anastasia Gasanova 100¢ $872 2h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Anastasia Gasanova vs Emerson Jones BUY Anastasia Gasanova 100¢ $9 2h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Anastasia Gasanova vs Emerson Jones BUY Anastasia Gasanova 100¢ $558 2h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Francisca Jorge vs Lina Gjorcheska BUY Lina Gjorcheska 99¢ $101 2h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Francisca Jorge vs Lina Gjorcheska BUY Lina Gjorcheska 99¢ $8 2h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Justina Mikulskyte vs Lucia Bronzetti BUY Lucia Bronzetti 100¢ $5 2h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Justina Mikulskyte vs Lucia Bronzetti BUY Lucia Bronzetti 100¢ $23 2h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Justina Mikulskyte vs Lucia Bronzetti BUY Lucia Bronzetti 100¢ $100 2h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Anastasia Gasanova vs Emerson Jones BUY Anastasia Gasanova 97¢ $100 2h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Anastasia Gasanova vs Emerson Jones BUY Anastasia Gasanova 99¢ $23 2h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Anastasia Gasanova vs Emerson Jones BUY Anastasia Gasanova 98¢ $96 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records