Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:40:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

59
0x5912…fb3f
crypto · 1989 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$690 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$690 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$690
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses1510 / 634
Open positions0
Markets (closed)2144 / 1989
History coverage34d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day58.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit74%
Chart Positions 0 History 2144 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,417
7 days−$914
14 days−$689
30 days−$796
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 81¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+23%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 59¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+69%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 74¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+35%)
BNB Up or Down - April 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - April 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 31, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $63 $0 −$63 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - April 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $54 −$54 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% +$1,175
other 5% −$320
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $0 55m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 8h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 14h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 14h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-17.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 575 -41.7% -47.3% 44% 36% -27.1%
≤30d 1679 -12.2% -20.6% 68% 55% -13.0%
≤90d 2144 -8.4% -17.2% 70% 57% -11.6%
all 2144 -8.4% -17.2% 70% 57% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover58.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.2% 57% -11.6%
10% ← realistic here -25.1% 33% -20.0%
15% -32.3% 20% -27.8%
20% -39.0% 12% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.63 · official $3.63 (match) · 3500 history records