Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T10:34:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
59 0x5911…3757 crypto 1537 markets active 1h ago coverage 25d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 24d only
✗ bot/MM pace (135 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$334 (+7%) realized +$334 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR55%break-even
Win rate57%931W / 702L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day135.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$756
7 days−$790
14 days−$850
30 days−$921
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$159
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (135 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-17.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 276 -32.7% -39.1% 35% 34% -35.5%
≤30d 1633 -8.8% -17.5% 57% 55% -18.0%
≤90d 1633 -8.8% -17.5% 57% 55% -18.0%
all 1633 -8.8% -17.5% 57% 55% -18.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover135.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.5% 55% -18.0%
10% ← realistic here -25.4% 49% -25.8%
15% -32.6% 5% -33.0%
20% -39.2% 1% -39.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -18% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -18% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late -13% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.35 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.47 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

25d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$334
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses931 / 702
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1633 / 1537
History coverage25d ⚠
Avg bet$3
Trades / day135.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1633 Trades
no open positions (252 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 16 $0 −$1 -613%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 16 $0 −$1 -609%
Ethereum Up or Down on March 31? Jun 16 $0 −$432 -893656%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $3 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 68¢ $4 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Down 45¢ $3 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records