Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:03:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

59
0x5911…a4b5
sports · 785 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$417 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$416 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$58
Realized−$416
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses330 / 441
Est. fees paid−$14
Open positions14
Markets (closed)771 / 785
History coverage227d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day8.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit70%
Chart Positions 14 History 771 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$39
7 days+$68
14 days−$109
30 days−$106
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $24 $23 −$0 (-1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 64¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Over 60¢ 58¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-2%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+8%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes 9¢ 22¢ $1 $3 +$2 (+150%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Yes 47¢ 46¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Justin Gaethje 19¢ 20¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+3%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 22¢ 12¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-48%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-12%)
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-21%)
Will Roger Federer play at Wimbledon? Yes 3¢ 2¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-31%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-64%)
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) KT Rolster 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $6 +$23 +369%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $16 +$17 +111%
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $5 +$5 +113%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $6 +$4 +63%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $7 +$3 +48%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 +$10 +104%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $2 $0 -7%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $11 +$9 +79%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl Jun 12 $3 +$2 +90%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $9 +$10 +110%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 +$3 +167%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 +$3 +129%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $3 +$2 +90%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $6 +$4 +65%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $1 +$4 +291%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $5 +$10 +219%
Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $3 +$2 +76%
Will England win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $4 +$1 +16%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $3 +$2 +65%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $4 +$3 +62%
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $3 +$2 +65%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Pri Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexis Galarneau Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Armenia vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 09 $6 +$4 +76%
Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $2 +$3 +114%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Paula Badosa Jun 08 $6 +$4 +82%
Greece vs. Italy: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $3 +$2 +83%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $45 +$2 +5%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $2 +$3 +197%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $4 +$2 +44%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 07 $5 +$5 +86%
Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $6 +$4 +67%
Bolivia vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $6 +$4 +73%
United States vs. Germany: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $3 +$2 +46%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 69% −$105
other 21% −$221
crypto 5% −$82
world 2% −$13
politics 1% +$17
tech 1% −$52
finance 1% +$39
economics 1% −$2
culture 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $12 26m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $12 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 22¢ $2 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $6 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $6 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 60¢ $6 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $2 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 99¢ $30 9h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 5¢ $1 9h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL KT Rolster 22¢ $33 9h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 53¢ $5 9h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster 10¢ $10 10h
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) BUY KT Rolster 51¢ $10 10h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster 11¢ $6 12h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 47¢ $0 13h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 47¢ $4 13h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 6¢ $2 13h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 55¢ $3 13h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 68¢ $3 13h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 7¢ $1 13h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 98¢ $20 14h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 13¢ $1 14h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 45¢ $2 14h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 25¢ $1 14h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 25¢ $2 14h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 37¢ $2 14h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 37¢ $1 14h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 53¢ $5 14h
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners BUY Over 63¢ $3 15h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $2 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-14.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 51 +28.7% +16.5% 63% 61% +11.5%
≤30d 100 +10.3% -0.2% 56% 53% -21.6%
≤90d 139 -7.5% -16.3% 46% 43% -36.8%
all 771 -5.1% -14.1% 43% 37% -16.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.1% 37% -16.3%
10% -22.3% 34% -24.3%
15% -29.8% 31% -31.6%
20% -36.7% 27% -38.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $57.68 · official $57.68 (match) · 2385 history records