Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:04:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

59
0x590c…9268
sports · 40 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$9 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$15 · open +$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Net worth$16
Realized−$15
Unrealized+$6
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses15 / 23
Est. fees paid−$44
Open positions2
Markets (closed)38 / 40
History coverage464d
Avg bet$41
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 2 History 38 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$8
14 days−$8
30 days−$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will LGD Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? Yes $5 $11 +$6 (+130%)
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 3 Winner Misa Esports 34¢ 34¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) KT Rolster 38¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bears vs. Packers Bears 28¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Broncos vs. Raiders Raiders 23¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Mets vs. Braves Mets 47¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Eagles vs. Vikings Vikings 45¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Titans vs. Browns Browns 65¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Giants vs. Broncos Giants 24¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $129 −$2 -2%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $153 −$2 -1%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $64 −$1 -1%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $192 −$2 -1%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $422 −$2 -0%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $97 $0 +0%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B May 14 $258 −$8 -3%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B May 14 $130 $0 -0%
Magic vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5 Mar 14 $30 +$27 +89%
Commanders vs. Vikings Feb 03 $5 +$5 +108%
Saints vs. Buccaneers Feb 03 $4 +$15 +376%
Bears vs. Packers Dec 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Broncos vs. Raiders Dec 06 $3 −$3 -100%
Titans vs. Browns Dec 06 $6 −$6 -100%
Dream vs. Fever Dec 06 $3 +$4 +150%
Aces vs. Storm Dec 06 $3 +$6 +186%
Colts vs. Chargers Dec 06 $5 +$6 +117%
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) Nov 09 $18 −$18 -100%
Giants vs. Broncos Oct 19 $3 −$3 -100%
Eagles vs. Vikings Oct 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Phillies vs. Marlins Sep 16 $5 +$3 +64%
Cardinals vs. White Sox Sep 16 $5 +$3 +70%
Astros vs. Rangers Sep 16 $5 +$5 +104%
Mets vs. Braves Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Mariners vs. Angels Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Jets vs. Stars Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Braves vs. Giants Jun 19 $5 +$5 +104%
Orioles vs. Athletics Jun 19 $5 +$7 +133%
Magic vs. Pacers May 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Cavaliers vs. Knicks May 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bucks vs. Pistons May 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Trail Blazers vs. Kings May 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Hawks vs. 76ers May 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Rockets vs. Jazz May 13 $5 +$1 +15%
Pacers vs. Hawks Mar 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Knicks vs. Lakers Mar 27 $5 −$5 -100%
76ers vs. Celtics Mar 27 $5 +$1 +12%
Rockets vs. Pelicans Mar 27 $5 +$3 +56%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$15
other 0% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 3 Winner BUY Misa Esports 34¢ $3 0m
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 3 Winner BUY Misa Esports 34¢ $2 0m
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner SELL G2 NORD 26¢ $66 19m
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner SELL Karmine Corp Blue 62¢ $96 19m
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 62¢ $97 20m
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner BUY G2 NORD 26¢ $68 20m
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner SELL UCAM Esports Club 36¢ $55 20m
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner BUY UCAM Esports Club 36¢ $56 20m
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winner SELL G2 NORD 27¢ $3 33m
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winner BUY G2 NORD 27¢ $3 33m
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 3 Winner SELL Karmine Corp Blue 63¢ $156 37m
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 3 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 63¢ $158 38m
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 3 Winner SELL Karmine Corp Blue 63¢ $34 39m
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 3 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 63¢ $34 40m
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winner SELL Solary 72¢ $60 40m
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner SELL Solary 73¢ $61 40m
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner BUY Solary 73¢ $61 41m
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winner BUY Solary 72¢ $60 41m
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play SELL EDward Gaming 23¢ $0 1h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play SELL EDward Gaming 23¢ $58 1h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 23¢ $11 1h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 23¢ $1 1h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 23¢ $0 1h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 23¢ $1 1h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 23¢ $0 1h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 23¢ $1 1h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 23¢ $0 1h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 23¢ $15 1h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 23¢ $0 1h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 23¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 -0.9% -10.3% 17% 0% -10.2%
≤30d 6 -0.9% -10.3% 17% 0% -10.2%
≤90d 8 -1.0% -10.4% 12% 0% -10.5%
all 38 -0.6% -10.1% 39% 37% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.1% 37% -10.4%
10% -18.7% 32% -18.9%
15% -26.6% 32% -26.8%
20% -33.8% 32% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $15.75 · official $15.75 (match) · 168 history records