Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:21:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

59
0x5906…3eca
crypto · 82 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$7 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$25 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$25
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses54 / 28
Open positions0
Markets (closed)82 / 82
History coverage133d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day3.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 82 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$23
14 days−$23
30 days−$23
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $25 −$3 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $37 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $48 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $49 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $49 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $45 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $38 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $31 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $9 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $25 −$4 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $30 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 11 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$4 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 11 $15 −$3 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 11 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 11 $20 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 11 $20 −$6 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 90% −$29
sports 9% +$4
other 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Down 73¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $3 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $4 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $4 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 82¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 85¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 76¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 68¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $4 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $0 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $5 42m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 66 -2.5% -11.8% 65% 9% -11.5%
≤30d 66 -2.5% -11.8% 65% 9% -11.5%
≤90d 66 -2.5% -11.8% 65% 9% -11.5%
all 82 -2.6% -11.8% 66% 11% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.8% 11% -11.4%
10% -20.3% 4% -19.9%
15% -28.0% 4% -27.6%
20% -35.0% 4% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 529 history records