Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:59:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

59
0x5904…940f
weather · 1055 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$180 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$247 · open −$66
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,960
Realized+$247
Unrealized−$66
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1003 / 2
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions53
Markets (closed)1005 / 1055
History coverage10d
Avg bet$45
Trades / day245.2
Drawdown10%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 53 History 1005 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days+$90
14 days+$247
30 days+$247
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14? No 46¢ 34¢ $154 $114 −$40 (-26%)
Will the Kulmiye Party (Peace, Unity, and Development Party) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election? No 99¢ 98¢ $105 $104 −$1 (-1%)
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $100 $100 +$0 (+0%)
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $100 $100 +$0 (+0%)
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 80°F or higher on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $100 $100 +$0 (+0%)
Will the Justice and Welfare Party (UCID) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election? No 98¢ 95¢ $85 $82 −$3 (-3%)
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $80 $80 +$0 (+0%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? Down 100¢ 100¢ $75 $75 +$0 (+0%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? Up 97¢ 100¢ $60 $62 +$2 (+3%)
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 12? Up 100¢ 100¢ $60 $60 +$0 (+0%)
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $60 $60 +$0 (+0%)
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $60 $60 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $45 $45 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $45 $45 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $45 $45 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $45 $45 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $45 $45 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $45 $45 +$0 (+0%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $45 $45 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $40 $40 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $40 $40 +$0 (+0%)
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $40 $40 +$0 (+0%)
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season? No 99¢ 99¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on June 12? Jun 12 $60 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 12? Jun 12 $20 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 12? Jun 12 $20 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $20 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $20 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 12? Jun 12 $245 +$2 +1%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 12? Jun 12 $175 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 12? Jun 12 $45 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 12? Jun 12 $245 +$2 +1%
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 12? Jun 12 $245 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,300 and $1,400 on June 12? Jun 12 $40 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,200 and $1,300 on June 12? Jun 12 $40 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 12? Jun 12 $80 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 12? Jun 12 $40 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $40 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 12? Jun 12 $210 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 12? Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 12? Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $75 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C or below on June 12? Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $15 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $140 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 12? Jun 12 $15 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 12? Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 12? Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 12? Jun 12 $45 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $20 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 12? Jun 12 $80 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 12? Jun 12 $40 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 12? Jun 12 $20 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $105 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET Jun 12 $35 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on June 11? Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on Ju Jun 12 $15 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 88-89°F on Ju Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on Ju Jun 12 $15 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 81°F or below on June Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June Jun 12 $15 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 11? Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 49% +$70
crypto 44% +$183
other 3% −$63
finance 2% +$10
sports 1% −$7
tech 1% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $15 8m
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $15 23m
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $20 32m
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $15 43m
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $20 47m
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $20 1h
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 100¢ $20 1h
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 100¢ $20 1h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 100¢ $25 1h
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 100¢ $20 1h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 100¢ $25 1h
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $15 1h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 100¢ $25 1h
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $15 3h
Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldw BUY No 99¢ $5 3h
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwi BUY No 99¢ $5 3h
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwi BUY No 99¢ $5 3h
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwi BUY No 99¢ $5 3h
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwi BUY No 99¢ $5 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $45 3h
Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldw BUY No 99¢ $5 3h
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwi BUY No 99¢ $5 3h
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwi BUY No 99¢ $5 3h
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwi BUY No 99¢ $5 3h
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwi BUY No 99¢ $5 3h
Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldw BUY No 99¢ $5 3h
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwi BUY No 99¢ $5 3h
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwi BUY No 99¢ $5 3h
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwi BUY No 99¢ $5 3h
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwi BUY No 99¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 739 +0.1% -9.5% 100% 0% -9.2%
≤30d 1005 +0.4% -9.2% 100% 0% -9.0%
≤90d 1005 +0.4% -9.2% 100% 0% -9.0%
all 1005 +0.4% -9.2% 100% 0% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover245.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.2% 0% -9.0%
10% ← realistic here -17.9% 0% -17.7%
15% -25.8% 0% -25.7%
20% -33.1% 0% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,959.55 · official $1,959.56 (match) · 3500 history records