Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:10:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

58
0x58f9…7d44
sports · 374 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
+$540 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$540 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$540
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses283 / 91
Whale WR (big bets)82%
Est. fees paid−$295
Open positions0
Markets (closed)374 / 374
History coverage138d
Avg bet$121
Trades / day7.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 374 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$47
7 days+$141
14 days−$663
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs largadosypelados (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Playoffs BESTIA 82¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage Lavked 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dota 2: Miposhka Team vs SoloTeam (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group B Miposhka Team 35¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Cloud9 56¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Astralis 8¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs Dplus KIA 14¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs GIANTX 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas 77¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings Chennai Super Kings 33¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Aurora 33¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs LGD Gaming 7¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs CGN Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group A Beşiktaş Esports 93¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BetBoom Team 45¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
LoL: NRG Esports vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Playoffs NRG Esports 45¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 35¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
LoL: Supernova vs Winthrop University (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs Supernova 34¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs Nongshim Red Force 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Misa Esports 74¢ 0¢ $96 $0 −$96 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Spirit 34¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs STEP (BO3) - United21 Playoffs ex-MANA eSports 7¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Aurora 50¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage NRG 58¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 HANJIN BRION Challengers 13¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Kiwoom DRX 21¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 54¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Rainbow Six Siege: Spacestation Gaming vs Outlast (BO1) - North Americ Jun 12 $25 +$23 +89%
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty Le Jun 12 $26 +$24 +89%
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $85 +$64 +75%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $95 −$95 -100%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl Jun 12 $79 +$20 +26%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 12 $95 −$14 -14%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla Jun 12 $407 +$66 +16%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $569 −$69 -12%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $31 −$30 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $46 +$4 +8%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $26 +$14 +54%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $68 +$13 +19%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $261 +$72 +28%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 11 $96 −$96 -99%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $79 +$21 +27%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATA Jun 10 $121 +$29 +24%
Rainbow Six Siege: Wildcard Gaming vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - North Americ Jun 10 $59 +$26 +44%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $289 −$69 -24%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Jun 10 $79 +$20 +26%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $128 +$7 +5%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 09 $289 +$11 +4%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $50 $0 +1%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $103 −$25 -24%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $8 +$2 +32%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group St Jun 09 $84 +$11 +13%
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 08 $189 +$61 +32%
LoL: FN Esports vs Verdant (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Jun 08 $52 −$2 -5%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 08 $152 −$67 -44%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $21 +$26 +124%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 08 $103 +$16 +16%
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs STEP (BO3) - United21 Playoffs Jun 08 $8 −$8 -98%
Dota 2: summer bear vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - European Pro League Group A Jun 07 $6 +$4 +82%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 07 $11 −$11 -99%
LoL: RED Canids vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup South Am Jun 07 $121 +$3 +2%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $101 +$43 +42%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $134 +$29 +22%
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $358 +$194 +54%
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $152 −$150 -99%
Call of Duty: FaZe Vegas vs Vancouver Surge (BO5) - Call of Duty Leagu Jun 06 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 06 $477 +$70 +15%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $23 −$23 -98%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $80 −$80 -100%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Lo Jun 06 $210 +$4 +2%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 06 $151 +$42 +28%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $10 −$10 -97%
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 06 $397 +$3 +1%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $46 −$45 -98%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 06 $45 +$5 +12%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffs Jun 06 $7 +$2 +29%
Valorant: SwimTrek Blue vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO5) - VCT Game Cha Jun 06 $84 +$16 +19%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$540
other 0% +$1
world 0% $0
crypto 0% −$1
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Rainbow Six Siege: Spacestation Gaming vs Outlast (BO1) - North Americ SELL Spacestation Gaming 100¢ $48 39m
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty Le SELL FaZe Vegas 100¢ $50 39m
Rainbow Six Siege: Spacestation Gaming vs Outlast (BO1) - North Americ BUY Spacestation Gaming 52¢ $25 1h
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas - Game 1 Winner SELL FaZe Vegas 99¢ $148 2h
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty Le BUY FaZe Vegas 52¢ $26 3h
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas - Game 1 Winner BUY FaZe Vegas 56¢ $85 3h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 95¢ $45 4h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 95¢ $21 4h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 95¢ $28 4h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl SELL Team Vitality 100¢ $100 4h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Vitality 79¢ $79 5h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C SELL G2 NORD 82¢ $82 5h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla SELL Paper Rex 100¢ $473 7h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY G2 NORD 95¢ $95 7h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla BUY Paper Rex 83¢ $42 8h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla BUY Paper Rex 88¢ $177 8h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla BUY Paper Rex 84¢ $188 8h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 99¢ $601 8h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 82¢ $499 8h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 54¢ $70 9h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 35¢ $31 13h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 100¢ $50 26h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 92¢ $18 26h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 93¢ $28 26h
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 2 Winner SELL E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 100¢ $40 26h
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 2 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 64¢ $26 28h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Team Falcons 74¢ $81 29h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 61¢ $68 29h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C SELL Galions 95¢ $332 30h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY Galions 74¢ $261 30h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 50 -6.2% -15.1% 66% 52% -7.1%
≤30d 233 -4.1% -13.3% 70% 42% -9.5%
≤90d 321 -2.2% -11.5% 74% 39% -8.1%
all 374 -0.7% -10.2% 76% 38% -8.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.2% 38% -8.4%
10% -18.8% 21% -17.2%
15% -26.6% 12% -25.2%
20% -33.8% 8% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1135 history records