Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:04:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

58
0x58f4…7166
other · 5 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$16 -79%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$16 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$16
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 3
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)3 / 5
History coverage1d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day4.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit40%
Chart Positions 2 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$16
7 days−$16
14 days−$16
30 days−$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+2%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Yes 39¢ 38¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-4%)
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? Yes 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Switzerland 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 50% −$6
sports 50% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 39¢ $2 1h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $2 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $6 12h
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? BUY Yes 65¢ $5 26h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 58¢ $5 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-100.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 3 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 3 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 3 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -100.0% 0% -100.0%
10% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
15% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
20% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.96 · official $3.96 (match) · 5 history records