Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T11:43:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
58 0x58eb…ded8 crypto 330 markets active 5d ago coverage 11d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 11d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (294 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$1,875 (+8%) realized +$1,875 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -26% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -43% what you keep after slip
Net edge-43%after slip
Net WR27%break-even
Win rate31%130W / 295L
Whale WR20%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$72per market
Trades / day294.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 11d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$62
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (294 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-33.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 120 -81.5% -83.2% 10% 9% -53.3%
≤30d 425 -26.0% -33.0% 31% 27% -22.0%
≤90d 425 -26.0% -33.0% 31% 27% -22.0%
all 425 -26.0% -33.0% 31% 27% -22.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover294.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -33.0% 27% -22.0%
10% ← realistic here -39.4% 25% -29.5%
15% -45.3% 19% -36.3%
20% -50.7% 14% -42.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -14% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
12% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -26% · $-wt -14% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 20% (≥$500) big bets weaker
Persistence
early +2% → late -54% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
10.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$39 vs −$30 · ×1.31 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.58 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

11d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,875
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses130 / 295
Whale WR (big bets)20%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)425 / 330
History coverage11d ⚠
Avg bet$72
Trades / day294.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 425 Trades
no open positions (227 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 17 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 17 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 17 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 17 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 17 $74 −$74 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 17 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 17 $111 −$111 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 17 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 17 $164 −$164 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 17 $87 −$87 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $172 −$172 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 17 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 17 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 17 $101 −$101 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 17 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 17 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 17 $103 −$103 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 17 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 17 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 17 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 17 $151 −$151 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 17 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 17 $101 −$101 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 17 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 17 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 17 $19 −$19 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $19 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $25 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $75 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $167 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $33 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $9 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $16 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $17 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $80 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $57 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $7 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $14 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $51 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $9 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $109 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $20 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $68 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $15 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $57 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $7 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $124 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $32 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $12 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $49 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $59 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $11 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $9 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $16 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $11 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records