trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 4 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 23 | -10.7% | -19.2% | 39% | 17% | -17.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -19.2% | 17% | -17.1% |
| 10% | -26.9% | 9% | -25.0% |
| 15% | -34.0% | 4% | -32.3% |
| 20% | -40.4% | 0% | -38.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $201 | $201 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $200 | $199 | −$1 (-0%) |
| Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $180 | $180 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026? | Yes | 94¢ | 89¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 27 | $313 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Apr 27 | $380 | $0 | -0% |
| Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 28 | $196 | $0 | -0% |
| Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Mar 28 | $79 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Feb 20 | $76 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings? | Feb 17 | $2 | $0 | +7% |
| Will Jay-Z perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | Feb 17 | $2 | +$1 | +35% |
| Will Trump remove his Rob Reiner post? | Jan 25 | $1 | $0 | +7% |
| Will Roaring Kitty tweet again by December 31? | Jan 25 | $1 | $0 | +47% |
| Will GenesisCupChampion win the Genesis Cup? | Nov 27 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will SpaceX rescue the stranded Chinese astronauts? | Nov 27 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Russia announces air truce by September 30? | Oct 14 | $6 | $0 | -7% |
| XRP above $2.10 on June 27? | Jul 10 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Alpine have the second highest Constructor score at the 2025 Mona | Jun 21 | $4 | $0 | -1% |
| Will USD0++ stabilize again before February? | May 23 | $4 | $0 | -1% |
| Andrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2024? | Jan 13 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Titans win the AFC Championship? | Dec 08 | $115 | $0 | -0% |
| Will BC NDP win the most seats in the 2024 British Columbia general el | Dec 02 | $10 | +$1 | +14% |
| Will Elon Musk speak at Trump's Pennsylvania rally Saturday? | Oct 20 | $16 | +$2 | +11% |
| Hunter Biden in jail before election day? | Oct 05 | $1 | $0 | -1% |
| Crimean bridge hit before October? | Oct 05 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Pavel Durov released in August? | Sep 23 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Ethereum all time high in 2024? | Aug 12 | $197 | −$116 | -59% |