Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:36:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

58
0x58d2…d2df
crypto · 1902 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$314 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$314 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$314
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses1591 / 532
Open positions0
Markets (closed)2123 / 1902
History coverage27d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day70.0
Drawdown82%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 2123 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,103
7 days−$341
14 days−$25
30 days+$314
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 27? No 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 28? No 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on April 25? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on May 1? No 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on April 22? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 25? No 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on April 25? No 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on April 24? No 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 27? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on Ap Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on April 25? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on May 1? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on April 22? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 25? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on Ap Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on April 24? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on April 25 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 22 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on Ap Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 22 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 64°F or higher on April 21? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 26 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on April 24? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C or below on April 27? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 74°F or higher on May 2? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 28? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on May 3? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on Ap Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,758
weather 0% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $42 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $35 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $41 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $41 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $28 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $42 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $37 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $38 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $37 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $39 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $8 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $24 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $12 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $14 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $37 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $38 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $37 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $7 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $11 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $33 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $26 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $32 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $12 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $35 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $34 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $33 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-17.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 853 -28.0% -34.9% 58% 33% -11.5%
≤30d 2123 -8.2% -17.0% 75% 41% -8.7%
≤90d 2123 -8.2% -17.0% 75% 41% -8.7%
all 2123 -8.2% -17.0% 75% 41% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover70.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.0% 41% -8.7%
10% ← realistic here -24.9% 25% -17.4%
15% -32.2% 16% -25.4%
20% -38.8% 10% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records